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台湾烧炭自杀流行趋势的演变:时空分析。

The evolution of the epidemic of charcoal-burning suicide in Taiwan: a spatial and temporal analysis.

机构信息

Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.

出版信息

PLoS Med. 2010 Jan;7(1):e1000212. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1000212. Epub 2010 Jan 5.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000212
PMID:20052273
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2794367/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

An epidemic of carbon monoxide poisoning suicide by burning barbecue charcoal has occurred in East Asia in the last decade. We investigated the spatial and temporal evolution of the epidemic to assess its impact on the epidemiology of suicide in Taiwan.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Age-standardised rates of suicide and undetermined death by charcoal burning were mapped across townships (median population aged 15 y or over = 27,000) in Taiwan for the periods 1999-2001, 2002-2004, and 2005-2007. Smoothed standardised mortality ratios of charcoal-burning and non-charcoal-burning suicide and undetermined death across townships were estimated using Bayesian hierarchical models. Trends in overall and method-specific rates were compared between urban and rural areas for the period 1991-2007. The epidemic of charcoal-burning suicide in Taiwan emerged more prominently in urban than rural areas, without a single point of origin, and rates of charcoal-burning suicide remained highest in the metropolitan regions throughout the epidemic. The rural excess in overall suicide rates prior to 1998 diminished as rates of charcoal-burning suicide increased to a greater extent in urban than rural areas.

CONCLUSIONS

The charcoal-burning epidemic has altered the geography of suicide in Taiwan. The observed pattern and its changes in the past decade suggest that widespread media coverage of this suicide method and easy access to barbecue charcoal may have contributed to the epidemic. Prevention strategies targeted at these factors, such as introducing and enforcing guidelines on media reporting and restricting access to charcoal, may help tackle the increase of charcoal-burning suicides. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.

摘要

背景

在过去十年中,东亚地区发生了因燃烧烧烤木炭而导致的一氧化碳中毒自杀流行。我们调查了该流行的时空演变,以评估其对台湾自杀流行的影响。

方法和发现

我们在台湾绘制了 1999-2001 年、2002-2004 年和 2005-2007 年期间,各城镇(中位数年龄为 15 岁或以上的人口为 27000 人)因木炭燃烧导致的自杀和原因不明死亡的年龄标准化率,并使用贝叶斯分层模型估算了各城镇因木炭燃烧和非木炭燃烧导致的自杀和原因不明死亡的标准化死亡率比。我们比较了 1991-2007 年城乡地区的总自杀率和特定方法自杀率的趋势。台湾的木炭燃烧自杀流行在城市地区比农村地区更为突出,没有单一的起源点,而且在整个流行期间,大都市地区的木炭燃烧自杀率一直最高。1998 年之前,农村地区的总自杀率高于城市地区的农村地区,但随着城市地区的木炭燃烧自杀率上升幅度大于农村地区,这种情况有所改变。

结论

木炭燃烧自杀流行改变了台湾的自杀地理分布。过去十年中观察到的模式及其变化表明,这种自杀方法的广泛媒体报道和烧烤木炭的易获得性可能促成了这一流行。针对这些因素的预防策略,如引入和执行媒体报道准则以及限制木炭的获取,可能有助于解决木炭燃烧自杀率上升的问题。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de2c/2794367/2123649c1470/pmed.1000212.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de2c/2794367/edbe8b4abb88/pmed.1000212.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de2c/2794367/c46f418950e2/pmed.1000212.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de2c/2794367/3feb65bc2c9a/pmed.1000212.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de2c/2794367/2123649c1470/pmed.1000212.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de2c/2794367/edbe8b4abb88/pmed.1000212.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de2c/2794367/c46f418950e2/pmed.1000212.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de2c/2794367/3feb65bc2c9a/pmed.1000212.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de2c/2794367/2123649c1470/pmed.1000212.g004.jpg

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