Dübendorfer C, Billeter A T, Seifert B, Keel M, Turina M
Department of Anesthesiology, Kantonsspital Winterthur, Brauerstr. 15, 8401, Winterthur, Switzerland.
Division of Trauma Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Zürich Hospital, Rämistr. 100, 8091, Zurich, Switzerland.
Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg. 2013 Feb;39(1):25-34. doi: 10.1007/s00068-012-0212-z. Epub 2012 Jul 27.
OBJECTIVE: Arterial lactate, base excess (BE), lactate clearance, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score have been shown to correlate with outcome in severely injured patients. The goal of the present study was to separately assess their predictive value in patients suffering from traumatic brain injury (TBI) as opposed to patients suffering from injuries not related to the brain. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 724 adult trauma patients with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) ≥ 16 were grouped into patients without TBI (non-TBI), patients with isolated TBI (isolated TBI), and patients with a combination of TBI and non-TBI injuries (combined injuries). The predictive value of the above parameters was then analyzed using both uni- and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 39 years (77 % males), with a mean ISS of 32 (range 16-75). Mortality ranged from 14 % (non-TBI) to 24 % (combined injuries). Admission and serial lactate/BE values were higher in non-survivors of all groups (all p < 0.01), but not in patients with isolated TBI. Admission SOFA scores were highest in non-survivors of all groups (p = 0.023); subsequently septic patients also showed elevated SOFA scores (p < 0.01), except those with isolated TBI. In this group, SOFA score was the only parameter which showed significant differences between survivors and non-survivors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed lactate to be the best overall predictor for increased mortality and further septic complications, irrespective of the leading injury. CONCLUSION: Lactate showed the best performance in predicting sepsis or death in all trauma patients except those with isolated TBI, and the differences were greatest in patients with substantial bleeding. Following isolated TBI, SOFA score was the only parameter which could differentiate survivors from non-survivors on admission, although the SOFA score, too, was not an independent predictor of death following multivariate analysis.
目的:动脉血乳酸、碱剩余(BE)、乳酸清除率和序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分已被证明与重伤患者的预后相关。本研究的目的是分别评估它们在创伤性脑损伤(TBI)患者与非脑损伤患者中的预测价值。 材料与方法:将724例损伤严重度评分(ISS)≥16的成年创伤患者分为非TBI患者(非TBI组)、单纯TBI患者(单纯TBI组)和TBI合并非TBI损伤患者(合并损伤组)。然后采用单因素和多因素分析来分析上述参数的预测价值。 结果:患者的平均年龄为39岁(77%为男性),平均ISS为32(范围16 - 75)。死亡率从14%(非TBI组)到24%(合并损伤组)不等。所有组的非幸存者入院时及系列乳酸/BE值均较高(均p < 0.01),但单纯TBI患者除外。所有组的非幸存者入院时SOFA评分最高(p = 0.023);随后,脓毒症患者的SOFA评分也升高(p < 0.01),但单纯TBI患者除外。在该组中,SOFA评分是幸存者和非幸存者之间唯一显示出显著差异的参数。受试者工作特征(ROC)分析显示,无论主要损伤如何,乳酸是死亡率增加和进一步脓毒症并发症的最佳总体预测指标。 结论:除单纯TBI患者外,乳酸在预测所有创伤患者的脓毒症或死亡方面表现最佳,且在大量出血患者中差异最大。单纯TBI后,SOFA评分是入院时唯一能区分幸存者和非幸存者的参数,尽管在多因素分析后,SOFA评分也不是死亡的独立预测指标。
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