Aune Dagfinn, Vatten Lars J, Boffetta Paolo
Department of Public Health and General Practice, Faculty of Medicine, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, St. Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, Paddington, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2016 Jul;31(7):643-53. doi: 10.1007/s10654-016-0124-z. Epub 2016 Feb 22.
Tobacco smoking has been inconsistently associated with gallbladder disease risk. To clarify the association we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies published on the subject. We searched the PubMed and Embase databases for studies of smoking and gallbladder disease up to January 9th 2015. Prospective studies were included if they reported relative risk estimates and 95 % confidence intervals of gallbladder disease associated with current, former or ever smoking and by number of cigarettes per day. Summary relative risks were estimated by use of a random effects model. We identified ten prospective studies including 59,530 gallbladder disease cases among 4,213,482 participants that could be included in the meta-analysis. The summary RR was 1.19 (95 % CI 1.12-1.28, I(2) = 46.9 %, n = 6) for current smokers, 1.10 (95 % CI 1.07-1.13, I(2) = 0 %, n = 6) for former smokers and 1.15 (95 % CI 1.13-1.18, I(2) = 0 %, n = 7) for ever smokers. In the dose-response analysis the summary relative risk was 1.11 (95 % CI 1.08-1.14, I(2) = 33 %, n = 3) per 10 cigarettes per day and although there was indication of nonlinearity there was a dose-dependent positive association with increasing number of cigarettes smoked per day. The current meta-analysis provides evidence of an increased risk of gallbladder disease associated with tobacco smoking.
吸烟与胆囊疾病风险之间的关联并不一致。为了阐明这种关联,我们对该主题发表的队列研究进行了系统评价和荟萃分析。我们检索了截至2015年1月9日的PubMed和Embase数据库中关于吸烟与胆囊疾病的研究。如果前瞻性研究报告了与当前、既往或曾经吸烟以及每日吸烟量相关的胆囊疾病的相对风险估计值和95%置信区间,则纳入研究。使用随机效应模型估计汇总相对风险。我们确定了10项前瞻性研究,包括4,213,482名参与者中的59,530例胆囊疾病病例,这些病例可纳入荟萃分析。当前吸烟者的汇总RR为1.19(95%CI 1.12-1.28,I² = 46.9%,n = 6),既往吸烟者为1.10(95%CI 1.07-1.13,I² = 0%,n = 6),曾经吸烟者为1.15(95%CI 1.13-1.18,I² = 0%,n = 7)。在剂量反应分析中,每日每10支烟的汇总相对风险为1.11(95%CI 1.08-1.14,I² = 33%,n = 3),尽管有非线性迹象,但与每日吸烟量增加存在剂量依赖性正相关。当前的荟萃分析提供了吸烟与胆囊疾病风险增加相关的证据。