Soltész G, Madácsy L, Békefi D, Dankó I
Orv Hetil. 1989 Dec 24;130(52):2775-8.
A retrospective epidemiological study using primary data sources and external validation was made to assess the incidence of childhood diabetes (0-14 yr) over a ten-year period. The degree of ascertainment was 96.2 per cent. Age-specific incidence rates increased until puberty with peak incidence in girls at 10 year and in boys at 13 year. There was a seasonal variation of onset with peaks in autumn and winter. The yearly incidence rates showed an increasing trend, the incidence in 1987 (8.7/100,000) was 2.3 times higher than in 1978. The rise in incidence was not continuous, incidence rates were similar in the years 1978-79, 1980-84 and 1985-87, but relatively sharp increases could be observed in 1980 and in 1985 which were mainly due to increases in incidence of the age group 5 to 9 years. Dynamic changes have taken place in the incidence of childhood diabetes in Hungary between 1978 and 1987, but it is not known whether the increases can be regarded as epidemics or parts of a discontinuous trend.
采用原始数据来源并进行外部验证的回顾性流行病学研究，旨在评估十年间儿童糖尿病（0至14岁）的发病率。确诊率为96.2%。特定年龄发病率在青春期前上升，女孩发病率高峰在10岁，男孩在13岁。发病存在季节性变化，秋冬季节为发病高峰。年发病率呈上升趋势，1987年的发病率（8.7/10万）是1978年的2.3倍。发病率的上升并非持续不断，1978 - 1979年、1980 - 1984年以及1985 - 1987年的发病率相似，但在1980年和1985年观察到相对急剧的上升，这主要归因于5至9岁年龄组发病率的增加。1978年至1987年间匈牙利儿童糖尿病发病率发生了动态变化，但尚不清楚这种增加是否可视为流行病或不连续趋势的一部分。
