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辛辛那提院前卒中严重程度量表的外部验证

External Validation of the Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Severity Scale.

作者信息

Kummer Benjamin R, Gialdini Gino, Sevush Jennifer L, Kamel Hooman, Patsalides Athos, Navi Babak B

机构信息

Department of Neurology, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, New York.

Feil Family Brain and Mind Research Institute, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, New York.

出版信息

J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis. 2016 May;25(5):1270-1274. doi: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2016.02.015. Epub 2016 Mar 9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Severity Scale (CPSSS) was recently developed to predict large-vessel occlusions (LVOs) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). In its derivation study, which consisted of patients enrolled in thrombolysis and endovascular therapy trials, the CPSSS had excellent discriminatory performance. We sought to externally validate the CPSSS in an independent cohort.

METHODS

Using our institution's prospective stroke registry, we calculated CPSSS scores for all patients diagnosed with AIS at Weill Cornell Medical Center in 2013 and 2014. The primary outcome was presence of LVO and the secondary outcome was a National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score of 15 or higher. Harrell's c-statistic was calculated to determine the CPSSS score's discriminatory performance. Using the previously defined cut-point of 2 or higher (range 0-4), we evaluated the test properties of the CPSSS for predicting study outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 751 patients with AIS, 664 had vessel imaging and were included in the final analysis. Of these patients, 80 (14.2%) had LVOs and 117 (17.6%) had an NIHSS score of 15 or higher. The median CPSSS score was 0 (interquartile range 0-1) and 133 patients (20%) had scores of 2 or higher. c-statistic was .85 (95% confidence interval [CI] .81-.90) for predicting LVO and .94 (95% CI .92-.97) for predicting an NIHSS score of 15 or higher. Using a cut-point of 2 or higher, the CPSSS was 70.0% sensitive and 86.8% specific for predicting LVO, and 87.2% sensitive and 94.3% specific for predicting an NIHSS score of 15 or higher.

CONCLUSIONS

In a cohort of patients with AIS treated at a tertiary-care stroke center, the CPSSS had reasonable sensitivity and specificity for predicting LVO and severe stroke. Future studies should aim to prospectively validate the score in emergency responders.

摘要

背景

辛辛那提院前卒中严重程度量表(CPSSS)最近被开发出来用于预测急性缺血性卒中(AIS)患者的大血管闭塞(LVO)情况。在其推导研究中,该研究纳入了参加溶栓和血管内治疗试验的患者,CPSSS具有出色的鉴别性能。我们试图在一个独立队列中对CPSSS进行外部验证。

方法

利用我们机构的前瞻性卒中登记系统,我们计算了2013年和2014年在威尔康奈尔医学中心被诊断为AIS的所有患者的CPSSS评分。主要结局是LVO的存在,次要结局是美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分达到15分或更高。计算Harrell's c统计量以确定CPSSS评分的鉴别性能。使用先前定义的切点为2分或更高(范围0 - 4),我们评估了CPSSS预测研究结局的测试特性。

结果

在751例AIS患者中,664例进行了血管成像并纳入最终分析。在这些患者中,80例(14.2%)有LVO,117例(17.6%)的NIHSS评分达到15分或更高。CPSSS评分的中位数为0(四分位间距0 - 1),133例患者(20%)的评分达到2分或更高。预测LVO的c统计量为0.85(95%置信区间[CI] 0.81 - 0.90),预测NIHSS评分达到15分或更高的c统计量为0.94(95% CI 0.92 - 0.97)。使用切点为2分或更高时,CPSSS预测LVO的敏感性为70.0%,特异性为86.8%,预测NIHSS评分达到15分或更高的敏感性为87.2%,特异性为94.3%。

结论

在一家三级医疗卒中中心接受治疗的AIS患者队列中,CPSSS在预测LVO和严重卒中方面具有合理的敏感性和特异性。未来的研究应旨在在前瞻性研究中对急救人员中的该评分进行验证。

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