Franceschi S
Epidemiology Unit, Aviano Cancer Center, Italy.
Eur J Cancer Clin Oncol. 1989 Dec;25(12):1933-43. doi: 10.1016/0277-5379(89)90375-1.
In contrast to cancers of non-hormone-dependent sites, cancers of the breast, ovary and endometrium show a slowing down of the rate of increase in incidence at around age 50, as if ceasing menstrual activity reduced risk. Also nulliparous women appear more prone to these three cancers as compared to parous women, thus suggesting that pregnancies also represent a 'protected' time. Epidemiological studies on breast cancer, the only ones sufficiently large to try to disentangle meaningfully the effects of collinear reproductive variables such as parity and ages at first and last birth, show, however, that the effect of pregnancy is not simple and depends on how many births take place and at what age. Larger population-based investigations able to obtain with greater precision information not only on reproductive factors but also on possible confounding variables (e.g. socio-economic status, dietary habits, etc.) are mandatory, particularly as regards ovarian cancer and endometrial cancer. The lesson from the recent studies on pregnancy-related events and breast cancer is, however, that initially a decrease of old certainties must be expected to derive from the accumulation of new, better epidemiological data.
与非激素依赖部位的癌症不同,乳腺癌、卵巢癌和子宫内膜癌在50岁左右发病率的增长速度会放缓,就好像停止月经活动会降低风险一样。此外,与经产妇相比,未生育的女性似乎更容易患这三种癌症,因此表明怀孕也代表着一个“受保护”的时期。然而,关于乳腺癌的流行病学研究是唯一规模足够大、能够有意义地梳理诸如产次以及首次和末次生育年龄等共线生殖变量影响的研究,结果显示怀孕的影响并不简单,它取决于生育的次数和年龄。必须开展基于更大规模人群的调查,以便不仅能更精确地获取有关生殖因素的信息,还能获取有关可能的混杂变量(如社会经济地位、饮食习惯等)的信息,尤其是对于卵巢癌和子宫内膜癌。然而,近期关于与怀孕相关事件和乳腺癌的研究所得出的教训是,最初必然会因新的、更好的流行病学数据的积累而对一些旧有的定论产生质疑。