Renson C E
Dent Update. 1989 Nov;16(9):382-4, 386-9.
A Joint Working Group of the WHO and FDI was formed in 1981 to investigate the dramatic decrease in caries in children and young people that had been observed in a number of industrialized countries in the 1970s. The results of this investigation are reported in this series of three articles. Parts 1 and 2 described the assembly and analysis of all available data on the decrease, and identified the widespread availability of fluoride toothpaste as the most probable cause. Inevitably in developed countries with declining caries incidence there will be a decreased need for dental services, and hence a change in the need for dental personnel. This third article will examine the likely effects on staffing needs and outline a suggested methodology for manpower planning. The lack of adequate data makes prediction a precarious procedure, and this review indicates the urgent need for regular dental health monitoring and better manpower planning in all countries.
世界卫生组织（WHO）和国际牙科联合会（FDI）于1981年成立了一个联合工作组，以调查20世纪70年代在一些工业化国家观察到的儿童和年轻人龋齿率急剧下降的情况。这一系列三篇文章报告了该调查的结果。第1部分和第2部分描述了关于龋齿率下降的所有可用数据的收集和分析，并确定含氟牙膏的广泛使用是最可能的原因。在龋齿发病率下降的发达国家，对牙科服务的需求必然会减少，因此对牙科人员的需求也会发生变化。第三篇文章将研究对人员配置需求可能产生的影响，并概述人力规划的建议方法。由于缺乏足够的数据，预测是一个不稳定的过程，本综述表明所有国家都迫切需要定期进行口腔健康监测和更好的人力规划。
