Harrison Margo S, Griffin Jennifer B, McClure Elizabeth M, Jones Bonnie, Moran Katelin, Goldenberg Robert L
Department of Obstetrics/Gynecology, Columbia University, New York, New York.
RTI International, Durham, North Carolina.
Am J Perinatol. 2016 Jul;33(9):873-81. doi: 10.1055/s-0036-1571322. Epub 2016 Mar 31.
Objective The aim of the study is to evaluate clinical interventions to significantly reduce maternal mortality from prolonged labor, obstructed labor, and prolonged obstructed labor (PL/OL/POL) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Methods A mathematical model-Maternal and Neonatal Directed Assessment of Technology ("MANDATE")-was created for SSA with estimated prevalence for PL/OL/POL and case fatality rates from hemorrhage, infection, and uterine rupture. Based on a literature review and expert opinion, the model was populated with estimated likelihoods of the current healthcare system ability to diagnose, transfer, and treat women with these conditions. Impact on maternal mortality of improved diagnosis, transfer, and delivery to relieve PL/OL/POL was assessed. Results Without current technologies, the model estimated 8,464 maternal deaths annually in SSA from these conditions. Imputing current diagnosis, transfer, and treatment of PL/OL/POL, an estimated 7,033 maternal deaths occur annually from these complications. With improved PL/OL/POL diagnosis and improved transfer, 1,700 and 740 lives could be saved, respectively. Improved diagnosis, transfer, and treatment for PL/OL/POL reduce the mortality rate to 864 maternal deaths annually, saving 6,169 lives. If improved transfusion and antibiotic use were added, only 507 women per year would die from PL/OL/POL in SSA. Conclusion In SSA, increasing diagnostics, transfer to higher care, and operative delivery could substantially reduce maternal mortality from PL/OL/POL. Synopsis A computerized model of obstructed labor in SSA was created to explore the interventions necessary to reduce maternal mortality from this condition.
本研究旨在评估临床干预措施,以显著降低撒哈拉以南非洲地区(SSA)因产程延长、梗阻性分娩和延长性梗阻性分娩(PL/OL/POL)导致的孕产妇死亡率。方法:为SSA创建了一个数学模型——孕产妇和新生儿技术定向评估(“MANDATE”),其中估计了PL/OL/POL的患病率以及出血、感染和子宫破裂的病死率。基于文献综述和专家意见,该模型纳入了当前医疗系统诊断、转诊和治疗这些情况的女性的估计可能性。评估了改善诊断、转诊和分娩以缓解PL/OL/POL对孕产妇死亡率的影响。结果:在没有现有技术的情况下,该模型估计SSA每年有8464名孕产妇死于这些情况。考虑到目前对PL/OL/POL的诊断、转诊和治疗,估计每年有7033名孕产妇死于这些并发症。如果改善PL/OL/POL的诊断和转诊,分别可以挽救1700人和740人的生命。改善PL/OL/POL的诊断、转诊和治疗可将死亡率降低至每年864例孕产妇死亡,挽救6169人的生命。如果增加改善输血和抗生素使用,SSA每年只有507名女性会死于PL/OL/POL。结论:在SSA,增加诊断、转诊到更高水平的医疗机构和手术分娩可以大幅降低PL/OL/POL导致的孕产妇死亡率。简介:创建了一个SSA梗阻性分娩的计算机模型,以探索降低这种情况导致的孕产妇死亡率所需的干预措施。