Department of Gastroenterology, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Endosc Ultrasound. 2016 Mar-Apr;5(2):118-28. doi: 10.4103/2303-9027.180476.
There is a lack of consensus about the optimal noninvasive strategy for patients with suspected choledocholithiasis. Two previous systematic reviews used different methodologies not based on pretest probabilities that demonstrated no statistically significant difference between Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) for the detection of choledocholithiasis. In this article, we made a comparison of the diagnostic ability of EUS and MRCP to detect choledocholithiasis in suspected patients.
We conducted a systematic review in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) recommendations with all published randomized prospective trials. We performed the systemic review using MedLine, EMBASE, Cochrane, LILACS, and Scopus reviews through May 2015. We identified eight randomized, prospective, blinded trials comparing EUS and MRCP. All the patients were submitted to a gold standard method. We calculated the study-specific variables and performed analyses using aggregated variables such as sensitivity, specificity, prevalence, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy.
Five hundred and thirty eight patients were included in the analysis. The pretest probability for choledocholithiasis was 38.7. The mean sensitivity of EUS and MRCP for detection of choledocholithiasis was 93.7 and 83.5, respectively; the specificity was 88.5 and 91.5, respectively. Regarding EUS and MRCP, PPV was 89 and 87.8, respectively, and NPV was 96.9 and 87.8, respectively. The accuracy of EUS and MRCP was 93.3 and 89.7, respectively.
For the same pretest probability of choledocholithiasis, EUS has higher posttest probability when the result is positive and a lower posttest probability when the result is negative compared with MRCP.
对于疑似胆总管结石的患者,目前仍缺乏对最佳非侵入性策略的共识。两项先前的系统评价使用了不同的方法,这些方法并非基于术前概率,因此未能证明内镜超声(EUS)和磁共振胰胆管成像(MRCP)在检测胆总管结石方面存在统计学上的显著差异。在本文中,我们比较了 EUS 和 MRCP 对疑似患者胆总管结石的诊断能力。
我们按照系统评价和荟萃分析的首选报告项目(PRISMA)的建议进行了系统综述,并纳入了所有已发表的随机前瞻性试验。我们通过 MedLine、EMBASE、Cochrane、LILACS 和 Scopus 综述,检索截至 2015 年 5 月的所有已发表的随机前瞻性试验。我们共识别出 8 项比较 EUS 和 MRCP 的随机前瞻性盲法试验。所有患者均接受了金标准方法检测。我们计算了研究特定的变量,并使用汇总变量(如敏感性、特异性、患病率、阳性预测值(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV)和准确性)进行分析。
共纳入 538 例患者进行分析。胆总管结石的术前概率为 38.7%。EUS 和 MRCP 检测胆总管结石的平均敏感性分别为 93.7%和 83.5%,特异性分别为 88.5%和 91.5%。对于 EUS 和 MRCP,PPV 分别为 89%和 87.8%,NPV 分别为 96.9%和 87.8%。EUS 和 MRCP 的准确性分别为 93.3%和 89.7%。
对于相同的胆总管结石术前概率,EUS 阳性结果的术后概率更高,而 EUS 阴性结果的术后概率更低。