Hardy Ian C W, Maalouf Walid E
*School of Biosciences,University of Nottingham,UK.
†Division of Child Heath,Obstetrics and Gynaecology,Queen's Medical Centre,University of Nottingham,UK.
J Biosoc Sci. 2017 May;49(3):281-291. doi: 10.1017/S0021932016000146. Epub 2016 Apr 19.
Infertility affects around 15% of human couples and in many countries approximately 1-4% of babies are born following Assisted Reproductive Technologies (ART). Several ART techniques are used and these differentially affect the sex ratio of offspring successfully produced. These direct effects on sex ratio also have the potential to influence, indirectly, the sex ratios of offspring born to untreated couples. This is of concern because human sex ratio bias may adversely affect public health. Here the extent of indirect effects of ART that could operate, via Fisherian frequency-dependent natural selection, on the progeny sex ratio of unassisted members of a population is heuristically modelled. Given the degrees to which ART techniques bias sex ratios directly, it is predicted that well over 20% of couples would have to reproduce via ART for there to be any discernible effect on the sex ratios produced, in response, by the remainder of the population. This value is greater than the estimated prevalence of infertility problems among human couples. It is concluded that providing ART to couples with fertility problems does not currently generate significant ethical issues or public health concern in terms of indirect effects on the offspring sex ratios of untreated couples.
不孕症影响着约15%的人类夫妇,在许多国家,约1%-4%的婴儿是通过辅助生殖技术(ART)出生的。人们使用了多种ART技术,这些技术对成功产生的后代性别比例有不同影响。这些对性别比例的直接影响也有可能间接影响未接受治疗的夫妇所生孩子的性别比例。这令人担忧,因为人类性别比例偏差可能对公众健康产生不利影响。在此,通过费雪频率依赖自然选择,对ART可能对人群中未借助辅助生殖的成员的后代性别比例产生的间接影响程度进行了启发式建模。鉴于ART技术直接影响性别比例的程度,可以预测,超过20%的夫妇必须通过ART进行生育,才会对其余人群相应产生的性别比例有任何可察觉的影响。这个数值大于人类夫妇中不孕症问题的估计患病率。结论是,就对未接受治疗的夫妇的后代性别比例的间接影响而言,为有生育问题的夫妇提供ART目前不会产生重大的伦理问题或公众健康担忧。