Holand Anna Marie, Steinsland Ingelin
Department of Mathematical Sciences Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics NTNU NO-7491 Trondheim Norway.
Ecol Evol. 2016 Apr 20;6(11):3486-3495. doi: 10.1002/ece3.2124. eCollection 2016 Jun.
In this paper, we demonstrate how simulation studies can be used to answer questions about identifiability and consequences of omitting effects from a model. The methodology is presented through a case study where identifiability of genetic and/or individual (environmental) maternal effects is explored. Our study system is a wild house sparrow () population with known pedigree. We fit pedigree-based (generalized) linear mixed models (animal models), with and without additive genetic and individual maternal effects, and use deviance information criterion (DIC) for choosing between these models. Pedigree and R-code for simulations are available. For this study system, the simulation studies show that only large maternal effects can be identified. The genetic maternal effect (and similar for individual maternal effect) has to be at least half of the total genetic variance to be identified. The consequences of omitting a maternal effect when it is present are explored. Our results indicate that the total (genetic and individual) variance are accounted for. When an individual (environmental) maternal effect is omitted from the model, this only influences the estimated (direct) individual (environmental) variance. When a genetic maternal effect is omitted from the model, both (direct) genetic and (direct) individual variance estimates are overestimated.
在本文中,我们展示了如何利用模拟研究来回答关于模型中效应可识别性以及省略效应的后果等问题。通过一个案例研究来介绍该方法,在这个案例中探索了遗传和/或个体(环境)母体效应的可识别性。我们的研究系统是一个具有已知谱系的野生家麻雀种群。我们拟合基于谱系的(广义)线性混合模型(动物模型),包括有和没有加性遗传效应和个体母体效应的情况,并使用偏差信息准则(DIC)在这些模型之间进行选择。可获取用于模拟的谱系和R代码。对于这个研究系统,模拟研究表明只有较大的母体效应才能被识别。遗传母体效应(个体母体效应情况类似)必须至少占总遗传方差的一半才能被识别。我们还探讨了存在母体效应时省略它的后果。我们的结果表明总(遗传和个体)方差是可以解释的。当从模型中省略个体(环境)母体效应时,这仅会影响估计的(直接)个体(环境)方差。当从模型中省略遗传母体效应时,(直接)遗传方差估计值和(直接)个体方差估计值都会被高估。