Smith-Greenaway Emily, Sennott Christie
Department of Sociology, University of Southern California, 851 Downey Way, HSH, Office 309, Los Angeles, CA, 90089, USA.
Department of Sociology, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA.
Demography. 2016 Jun;53(3):805-34. doi: 10.1007/s13524-016-0475-9.
Social scientists have long debated how to best measure pregnancy intentions. The standard measure relies on mothers' retrospective reports of their intentions at the time of conception. Because women have already given birth at the time of this report, the resulting children's health-including their vital status-may influence their mothers' responses. We hypothesize that women are less likely to report that deceased children were from unintended pregnancies, which may explain why some cross-sectional studies have shown that children from unintended pregnancies have higher survival, despite the fact that longitudinal studies have shown the opposite is true. Using Demographic and Health Survey data from 31 sub-Saharan African countries, we confirm that mothers are less likely to report that deceased children resulted from unintended pregnancies compared with surviving children. However, the opposite is true for unhealthy children: mothers more commonly report that unhealthy children were from unintended pregnancies compared with healthier children. The results suggest that mothers (1) revise their recall of intentions after the traumatic experience of child death and/or (2) alter their reports in the face-to-face interview. The study challenges the reliability of retrospective reports of pregnancy intentions in high-mortality settings and thus also our current knowledge of the levels and consequences of unintended pregnancies in these contexts.
长期以来,社会科学家一直在争论如何最好地衡量怀孕意愿。标准衡量方法依赖于母亲对受孕时意愿的回顾性报告。由于在进行此项报告时女性已经分娩,因此由此产生的孩子的健康状况——包括他们的生命状况——可能会影响母亲的回答。我们假设,女性不太可能报告已死亡的孩子来自意外怀孕,这或许可以解释为什么一些横断面研究表明意外怀孕所生孩子的存活率更高,尽管纵向研究显示情况恰恰相反。利用来自撒哈拉以南非洲31个国家的人口与健康调查数据,我们证实,与存活的孩子相比,母亲不太可能报告已死亡的孩子是意外怀孕所致。然而,对于不健康的孩子,情况则相反:与健康孩子相比,母亲更常报告不健康的孩子来自意外怀孕。研究结果表明,母亲(1)在经历孩子死亡的创伤经历后会修正她们对怀孕意愿的回忆,和/或(2)在面对面访谈中改变她们的报告。这项研究对高死亡率环境下怀孕意愿回顾性报告的可靠性提出了质疑,进而也对我们目前在这些背景下对意外怀孕的程度和后果的认识提出了质疑。