Ciruela Pilar, Broner Sonia, Izquierdo Conchita, Hernández Sergi, Muñoz-Almagro Carmen, Pallarés Roman, Jané Mireia, Domínguez Angela
Agència de Salut Pública de Catalunya. Generalitat de Catalunya, Roc Boronat 81-95, 08005, Barcelona, Spain.
Hospital Universitario Sant Joan de Deu, P° Sant Joan de Deu 2, 08950, Esplugues, Barcelona, Spain.
BMC Public Health. 2016 May 13;16:400. doi: 10.1186/s12889-016-3061-6.
To study the impact of meteorological data and respiratory viral infections on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) rates.
We analysed all notifications of IPD and respiratory viral infections to the Microbiological Reporting System of Catalonia (2006-2012). Correlations between rates of IPD and viral infections (influenza virus, respiratory syncytial virus [RSV] and adenovirus), and meteorological variables (temperature, humidity, hours of sunshine, wind speed and number of days with rainfall) were assessed using Spearman's correlation coefficient and negative binomial regression models.
We found significant correlations between monthly rates of IPD and monthly rates of all respiratory viruses and meteorological factors. However, after multiple regression analysis, associations remained between IPD rates and influenza rates and reductions in temperature in the total population, and between IPD rates and adenovirus rates in children aged <5 years. When models were repeated for the total population using data from the preceding month, IPD rates increased when RSV was circulating and when the temperature was lower. In children aged <5 years, RSV circulation was associated with increased IPD rates.
IPD rates were linked to increased activity of some respiratory viruses and reductions in temperature. Preventive measures, including influenza vaccination, may help reduce IPD.
研究气象数据及呼吸道病毒感染对侵袭性肺炎球菌疾病(IPD)发病率的影响。
我们分析了加泰罗尼亚微生物报告系统(2006 - 2012年)收到的所有IPD及呼吸道病毒感染报告。使用Spearman相关系数和负二项回归模型评估IPD发病率与病毒感染(流感病毒、呼吸道合胞病毒[RSV]和腺病毒)以及气象变量(温度、湿度、日照时长、风速和降雨天数)之间的相关性。
我们发现IPD月发病率与所有呼吸道病毒月发病率及气象因素之间存在显著相关性。然而,经过多元回归分析后,IPD发病率与流感发病率以及总人口温度下降之间、IPD发病率与5岁以下儿童腺病毒发病率之间仍存在关联。当使用前一个月的数据对总人口重复模型分析时,RSV传播且温度较低时IPD发病率会升高。在5岁以下儿童中,RSV传播与IPD发病率增加有关。
IPD发病率与某些呼吸道病毒活动增加及温度下降有关。包括流感疫苗接种在内的预防措施可能有助于降低IPD发病率。