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预防出生缺陷的目标人群应该是谁?基于中国西部陕西省一项大规模、基于人群的横断面研究的潜在类别分析

Who Should Be Targeted for the Prevention of Birth Defects? A Latent Class Analysis Based on a Large, Population-Based, Cross-Sectional Study in Shaanxi Province, Western China.

作者信息

Zhu Zhonghai, Cheng Yue, Yang Wenfang, Li Danyang, Yang Xue, Liu Danli, Zhang Min, Yan Hong, Zeng Lingxia

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, P.R. China.

Department of Nutrition and Food Safety Research, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, P.R. China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2016 May 16;11(5):e0155587. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0155587. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The wide range and complex combinations of factors that cause birth defects impede the development of primary prevention strategies targeted at high-risk subpopulations.

METHODS

Latent class analysis (LCA) was conducted to identify mutually exclusive profiles of factors associated with birth defects among women between 15 and 49 years of age using data from a large, population-based, cross-sectional study conducted in Shaanxi Province, western China, between August and October, 2013. The odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of associated factors and the latent profiles of indicators of birth defects and congenital heart defects were computed using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

Five discrete subpopulations of participants were identified as follows: No folic acid supplementation in the periconceptional period (reference class, 21.37%); low maternal education level + unhealthy lifestyle (class 2, 39.75%); low maternal education level + unhealthy lifestyle + disease (class 3, 23.71%); unhealthy maternal lifestyle + advanced age (class 4, 4.71%); and multi-risk factor exposure (class 5, 10.45%). Compared with the reference subgroup, the other subgroups consistently had a significantly increased risk of birth defects (ORs and 95% CIs: class 2, 1.75 and 1.21-2.54; class 3, 3.13 and 2.17-4.52; class 4, 5.02 and 3.20-7.88; and class 5, 12.25 and 8.61-17.42, respectively). For congenital heart defects, the ORs and 95% CIs were all higher, and the magnitude of OR differences ranged from 1.59 to 16.15.

CONCLUSIONS

A comprehensive intervention strategy targeting maternal exposure to multiple risk factors is expected to show the strongest results in preventing birth defects.

摘要

背景

导致出生缺陷的因素范围广泛且组合复杂,这阻碍了针对高危亚人群的一级预防策略的制定。

方法

利用2013年8月至10月在中国西部陕西省开展的一项大型、基于人群的横断面研究数据,进行潜在类别分析(LCA),以确定15至49岁女性中与出生缺陷相关因素的相互排斥的类别。使用逻辑回归模型计算相关因素的比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(CI)以及出生缺陷和先天性心脏病指标的潜在类别。

结果

确定了五个不同的参与者亚群,具体如下:孕期未补充叶酸(参照类别,21.37%);母亲教育水平低+不健康生活方式(类别2,39.75%);母亲教育水平低+不健康生活方式+疾病(类别3,23.71%);不健康的母亲生活方式+高龄(类别4,4.71%);以及多危险因素暴露(类别5,10.45%)。与参照亚组相比,其他亚组出生缺陷风险均持续显著增加(OR和95%CI:类别2,1.75和1.21 - 2.54;类别3,3.13和2.17 - 4.52;类别4,5.02和3.20 - 7.88;类别5,12.25和8.61 - 17.42)。对于先天性心脏病,OR和95%CI均更高,OR差异幅度为1.59至16.15。

结论

针对母亲暴露于多种危险因素的综合干预策略有望在预防出生缺陷方面取得最强效果。

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