Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland.
JAMA Surg. 2016 Oct 1;151(10):947-952. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2016.1504.
Early landmark trials excluding dialysis patients showed carotid endarterectomy (CEA) decreased stroke risk compared with medical management. Dialysis dependence has been associated with poor outcomes after CEA in small studies, but, to our knowledge, there are no large studies evaluating outcomes of CEA in this patient group.
To delineate perioperative and long-term outcomes after CEA in dialysis-dependent patients in a large national database.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A retrospective review of all patients who underwent CEA in the US Renal Disease System-Medicare-matched database between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2011, was performed in June 2015. The median follow-up time was 2.5 years. Logistic and Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate perioperative and long-term outcomes.
The primary outcomes of interest were perioperative stroke, myocardial infarction and mortality, and long-term stroke and mortality.
A total of 5142 patients were studied; 83% of whom were asymptomatic. The mean (SD) age was 68.9 (9.6) years for asymptomatic patients and 70.0 (9.1) years for symptomatic patients. The 30-day stroke rate, myocardial infarction, and mortality for the asymptomatic and symptomatic groups were 2.7% vs 5.2% (P = .001), 4.6% vs 5.0% (P = .69), and 2.6% vs 2.9% (P = .61), respectively. Predictors of perioperative stroke were symptomatic status (odds ratio [OR], 2.01; 95% CI, 1.18-3.42; P = .01), black race (OR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.24-4.25; P = .008), and Hispanic ethnicity (OR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.17-4.42; P = .02). Freedom from stroke and overall survival were lower in symptomatic compared with asymptomatic patients at 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years (in asymptomatic vs symptomatic patients, freedom from stroke rates were 92% vs 87% at 1 year, 88% vs 83% at 2 years, 84% vs 78% at 3 years, 80% vs 73% at 4 years, and 79% vs 69% at 5 years, respectively, and overall survival rates were 78% vs 73% at 1 year, 60% vs 57% at 2 years, 46% vs 42% at 3 years, 37% vs 32% at 4 years, and 33% vs 29% at 5 years; P < .05). Predictors of long-term stroke were preoperative symptoms (hazard ratio, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.24-2.24; P < .001), female sex (hazard ratio, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.03-1.73; P = .04), and inability to ambulate (hazard ratio, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.25-2.62; P = .002). Predictors of long-term mortality were increasing age (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; P < .01), active smoking (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.00-1.48; P = .045), history of congestive heart failure (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.12-1.39; P < .001), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.09-1.45; P = .002).
To our knowledge, this is the largest study to date of dialysis patients who have undergone CEA. We have shown that the risks of CEA in asymptomatic patients is high and may outweigh the benefits. The risk of CEA in symptomatic patients is also high, and it should only be offered to a small carefully selected cohort of symptomatic patients.
早期的里程碑式试验排除了透析患者,表明颈动脉内膜切除术 (CEA) 降低了中风风险,优于药物治疗。在小型研究中,透析依赖与 CEA 后的不良结果相关,但据我们所知,尚无大型研究评估该患者群体中 CEA 的结果。
在一个大型国家数据库中,描述透析依赖患者 CEA 的围手术期和长期结果。
设计、地点和参与者:对 2006 年 1 月 1 日至 2011 年 12 月 31 日期间在美国肾脏疾病系统-医疗保险匹配数据库中接受 CEA 的所有患者进行回顾性审查。中位随访时间为 2.5 年。使用逻辑和 Cox 回归分析评估围手术期和长期结果。
主要关注的结果是围手术期中风、心肌梗死和死亡率以及长期中风和死亡率。
共研究了 5142 名患者,其中 83%为无症状。无症状患者的平均(SD)年龄为 68.9(9.6)岁,有症状患者的平均年龄为 70.0(9.1)岁。无症状和有症状组的 30 天中风率、心肌梗死率和死亡率分别为 2.7%比 5.2%(P<.001)、4.6%比 5.0%(P=.69)和 2.6%比 2.9%(P=.61)。围手术期中风的预测因素是症状状态(优势比 [OR],2.01;95%置信区间 [CI],1.18-3.42;P=.01)、黑种人(OR,2.30;95%CI,1.24-4.25;P=.008)和西班牙裔(OR,2.28;95%CI,1.17-4.42;P=.02)。与无症状患者相比,有症状患者在 1、2、3、4 和 5 年时的中风发生率和总体生存率均较低(在无症状患者与有症状患者中,1 年时无中风发生率分别为 92%和 87%,2 年时分别为 88%和 83%,3 年时分别为 84%和 78%,4 年时分别为 80%和 73%,5 年时分别为 79%和 69%,1 年时总体生存率分别为 78%和 73%,2 年时分别为 60%和 57%,3 年时分别为 46%和 42%,4 年时分别为 37%和 32%,5 年时分别为 33%和 29%;P<.05)。长期中风的预测因素是术前症状(风险比 [HR],1.67;95%CI,1.24-2.24;P<.001)、女性(HR,1.34;95%CI,1.03-1.73;P=.04)和无法行走(HR,1.81;95%CI,1.25-2.62;P=.002)。长期死亡率的预测因素是年龄增长(OR,1.02;95%CI,1.01-1.03;P<.01)、吸烟(OR,1.22;95%CI,1.00-1.48;P=.045)、充血性心力衰竭(OR,1.25;95%CI,1.12-1.39;P<.001)和慢性阻塞性肺疾病(OR,1.26;95%CI,1.09-1.45;P=.002)。
据我们所知,这是迄今为止关于接受 CEA 的透析患者的最大研究。我们表明,无症状患者 CEA 的风险很高,可能超过了获益。有症状患者 CEA 的风险也很高,只能为一小部分精心挑选的有症状患者提供。