Koons David N, Iles David T, Schaub Michael, Caswell Hal
Department of Wildland Resources and the Ecology Center, Utah State University, 5230 Old Main Hill, Logan, UT, 84322-5230, USA.
Swiss Ornithological Institute, Sempach, 6204, Switzerland.
Ecol Lett. 2016 Sep;19(9):1023-31. doi: 10.1111/ele.12628. Epub 2016 Jul 11.
Current understanding of life-history evolution and how demographic parameters contribute to population dynamics across species is largely based on assumptions of either constant environments or stationary environmental variation. Meanwhile, species are faced with non-stationary environmental conditions (changing mean, variance, or both) created by climate and landscape change. To close the gap between contemporary reality and demographic theory, we develop a set of transient life table response experiments (LTREs) for decomposing realised population growth rates into contributions from specific vital rates and components of population structure. Using transient LTREs in a theoretical framework, we reveal that established concepts in population biology will require revision because of reliance on approaches that do not address the influence of unstable population structure on population growth and mean fitness. Going forward, transient LTREs will enhance understanding of demography and improve the explanatory power of models used to understand ecological and evolutionary dynamics.
目前对生活史进化以及人口统计学参数如何影响物种间种群动态的理解,很大程度上基于恒定环境或静态环境变化的假设。与此同时,物种面临着由气候和景观变化造成的非静态环境条件(平均变化、方差变化或两者皆变)。为了弥合当代现实与人口统计学理论之间的差距,我们开发了一套瞬态生命表响应实验(LTREs),用于将实际种群增长率分解为特定生命率和种群结构组成部分的贡献。在理论框架中使用瞬态LTREs,我们发现种群生物学中的既定概念将需要修订,因为这些概念依赖于未考虑不稳定种群结构对种群增长和平均适合度影响的方法。展望未来,瞬态LTREs将增进对人口统计学的理解,并提高用于理解生态和进化动态的模型的解释力。