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[中国长寿地区老年人血脂比例对全因死亡率影响的随访研究]

[Follow-up study on the effects of lipid ratios on all-cause mortality among elderly adults in longevity areas of China].

作者信息

Shi X M, Lyu Y B, Yin Z X, Su L Q, Zhang J, Cai J F, Luo J S

机构信息

Institute of Environmental Health and Related Products Safety, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China.

出版信息

Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi. 2016 Jul 6;50(7):594-9. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0253-9624.2016.07.006.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To explore the association between lipid ratios and all-cause mortality among elderly adults aged 80 years and older living in longevity areas of China.

METHODS

A total of 874 participants in the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey during June 2009 were included in our baseline survey. Lipid concentrations were measured and lipid ratios including LDL-C/HDL-C, TG/HDL-C, and atherosclerosis index (AI) were calculated at baseline, and the information on questionnaires, body measurement, and blood biochemical profiles was collected. Survival time and survival status were followed up in August 2012. Subjects were stratified into three groups (low, middle and high) by tertiles of lipid ratios. All-cause mortality was calculated. Cox regression models were used to assess the association of lipid ratios with mortality.

RESULTS

During 38 months of follow-up, a total of 427 participants had died, 378 participants survived, and 69 participants were lost to follow-up; overall mortality was 50.5%. For these participants, P50 (P25-P75) values for LDL-C/HDL-C were 1.68 (1.22-2.05), 1.85 (1.34-2.16), and 1.78 (1.33-2.08), respectively (H=6.93, P=0.025); values for TG/HDL-C were 1.00 (0.79-1.34), 1.20 (0.97-1.53), and 1.23 (0.95-1.72), respectively (H=9.18, P=0.008). AIs were 2.12 (1.72-2.61), 2.27 (1.84-2.75), and 2.13 (1.80-2.58), respectively (H=6.37, P=0.041). Values for 38-month all-cause mortality were 53.1%, 50.0%, and 44.0% among participants with low, middle, and high LDL-C/HDL-C ratios (<1.39, 1.39-1.92, ≥1.92), respectively (χ(2)=7.54, P=0.024); these values were 54.8%, 46.4%, and 45.3% among participants with low, middle, and high AIs (<1.83, 1.83-2.39, ≥2.39), respectively (χ(2)=6.67, P=0.035). Each 1 unit increase of LDL-C/HDL-C, TG/HDL-C , and AI corresponded to a 17%, 15%, and 13% decrease in 38-month all-cause mortality, respectively; adjusted HRs were 0.83 (0.72-0.97), 0.85 (0.74-0.99), and 0.87 (0.76-0.99), respectively. Compared with participants who had low LDL-C/HDL-C ratios, high ratios were associated with lower risk of mortality (HR 0.88; (95% CI: 0.78-0.99)). Compared with low AIs, middle and high values were associated with lower risk of mortality HRs (95%CI) were 0.84 (0.72-0.98) and 0.87 (0.78-0.98);respectively.

CONCLUSION

LDL-C/HDL-C, TG/HDL-C, and AI were negatively associated with all-cause mortality among elderly adults aged 80 years and older living in longevity areas of China.

摘要

目的

探讨中国长寿地区80岁及以上老年人血脂比值与全因死亡率之间的关联。

方法

我们的基线调查纳入了2009年6月中国老年健康影响因素跟踪调查中的874名参与者。在基线时测量血脂浓度,并计算包括低密度脂蛋白胆固醇/高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDL-C/HDL-C)、甘油三酯/高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(TG/HDL-C)和动脉粥样硬化指数(AI)在内的血脂比值,同时收集问卷、身体测量和血液生化指标等信息。2012年8月对生存时间和生存状态进行随访。根据血脂比值的三分位数将受试者分为三组(低、中、高)。计算全因死亡率。采用Cox回归模型评估血脂比值与死亡率的关联。

结果

在38个月的随访期间,共有427名参与者死亡,378名参与者存活,69名参与者失访;总死亡率为50.5%。这些参与者的LDL-C/HDL-C的P50(P25 - P75)值分别为1.68(1.22 - 2.05)、1.85(1.34 - 2.16)和1.78(1.33 - 2.08)(H = 6.93,P = 0.025);TG/HDL-C的值分别为1.00(0.79 - 1.34)、1.20(0.97 - 1.53)和1.23(0.95 - 1.72)(H = 9.18,P = 0.008)。AI分别为2.12(1.72 - 2.61)、2.27(1.84 - 2.75)和2.13(1.80 - 2.58)(H = 6.37,P = 0.041)。LDL-C/HDL-C比值低、中、高组(<1.39、1.39 - 1.92、≥1.92)的38个月全因死亡率分别为53.1%、50.0%和44.0%(χ² = 7.54,P = 0.024);AI低、中、高组(<1.83、1.83 - 2.39、≥2.39)的这些值分别为54.8%、46.4%和45.3%(χ² = 6.67,P = 0.035)。LDL-C/HDL-C、TG/HDL-C和AI每增加1个单位,38个月全因死亡率分别相应降低17%、15%和13%;调整后的风险比分别为0.83(0.72 - 0.97)、0.85(0.74 - 0.99)和0.87(0.76 - 0.99)。与LDL-C/HDL-C比值低的参与者相比,高比值与较低的死亡风险相关(风险比0.88;95%置信区间:0.78 - 0.99)。与低AI相比,中、高AI与较低的死亡风险相关,风险比(95%置信区间)分别为0.84(0.72 - 0.98)和0.87(0.78 - 0.98)。

结论

在中国长寿地区80岁及以上老年人中,LDL-C/HDL-C、TG/HDL-C和AI与全因死亡率呈负相关。

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