Roberts Ian, Ker Katharine
Clinical Trials Unit, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Syst Rev. 2016 Jul 14;5(1):115. doi: 10.1186/s13643-016-0290-9.
The NHS needs valid information on the safety and effectiveness of healthcare interventions. Cochrane systematic reviews are an important source of this information. Traditionally, Cochrane has attempted to identify and include all relevant trials in systematic reviews on the basis that if all trials are identified and included, there should be no selection bias. However, a predictable consequence of the drive to include all trials is that some studies are included that are not trials (false positives). Including such studies in reviews might increase bias. More effort is needed to authenticate trials to be included in reviews, but this task is bedevilled by the enormous increase in the number of 'trials' conducted each year. We argue that excluding small trials from reviews would release resources for more detailed appraisal of larger trials. Conducting fewer but broader reviews that contain fewer but properly validated trials might better serve patients' interests.
英国国家医疗服务体系(NHS)需要有关医疗干预措施安全性和有效性的有效信息。Cochrane系统评价是此类信息的重要来源。传统上,Cochrane一直试图在系统评价中识别并纳入所有相关试验,其依据是如果所有试验都能被识别并纳入,就不应存在选择偏倚。然而,力求纳入所有试验的一个可预见的后果是,一些被纳入的研究并非试验(假阳性)。将此类研究纳入评价可能会增加偏倚。需要付出更多努力来甄别纳入评价的试验,但这项任务因每年进行的“试验”数量大幅增加而变得困难重重。我们认为,将小型试验排除在评价之外,将释放资源用于对大型试验进行更详细的评估。开展数量更少但范围更广、包含数量更少但经过适当验证的试验的评价,可能更符合患者的利益。
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