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Determining Risk of Falls in Community Dwelling Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Using Posttest Probability.

作者信息

Lusardi Michelle M, Fritz Stacy, Middleton Addie, Allison Leslie, Wingood Mariana, Phillips Emma, Criss Michelle, Verma Sangita, Osborne Jackie, Chui Kevin K

机构信息

1Department of Physical Therapy and Human Movement Science, College of Health Professions, Sacred Heart University, Fairfield, Connecticut 2Department of Physical Therapy, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia 3Division of Rehabilitation Sciences and Center for Recovery, Physical Activity and Nutrition, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston 4Department of Physical Therapy, Winston Salem State University, Winston Salem, North Carolina 5University of Vermont Medical Center, Colchester 6University of North Carolina Memorial Hospitals, Chapel Hill 7Physical Therapy Program, Chatham University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 8Care One at the Highlands, Edison, New Jersey 9Geriatric Residency Program, Brooks Rehabilitation Institute of Higher Learning, Jacksonville, Florida 10School of Physical Therapy, Pacific University, Hillsboro, Oregon.

出版信息

J Geriatr Phys Ther. 2017 Jan/Mar;40(1):1-36. doi: 10.1519/JPT.0000000000000099.


DOI:10.1519/JPT.0000000000000099
PMID:27537070
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5158094/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Falls and their consequences are significant concerns for older adults, caregivers, and health care providers. Identification of fall risk is crucial for appropriate referral to preventive interventions. Falls are multifactorial; no single measure is an accurate diagnostic tool. There is limited information on which history question, self-report measure, or performance-based measure, or combination of measures, best predicts future falls. PURPOSE: First, to evaluate the predictive ability of history questions, self-report measures, and performance-based measures for assessing fall risk of community-dwelling older adults by calculating and comparing posttest probability (PoTP) values for individual test/measures. Second, to evaluate usefulness of cumulative PoTP for measures in combination. DATA SOURCES: To be included, a study must have used fall status as an outcome or classification variable, have a sample size of at least 30 ambulatory community-living older adults (≥65 years), and track falls occurrence for a minimum of 6 months. Studies in acute or long-term care settings, as well as those including participants with significant cognitive or neuromuscular conditions related to increased fall risk, were excluded. Searches of Medline/PubMED and Cumulative Index of Nursing and Allied Health (CINAHL) from January 1990 through September 2013 identified 2294 abstracts concerned with fall risk assessment in community-dwelling older adults. STUDY SELECTION: Because the number of prospective studies of fall risk assessment was limited, retrospective studies that classified participants (faller/nonfallers) were also included. Ninety-five full-text articles met inclusion criteria; 59 contained necessary data for calculation of PoTP. The Quality Assessment Tool for Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS) was used to assess each study's methodological quality. DATA EXTRACTION: Study design and QUADAS score determined the level of evidence. Data for calculation of sensitivity (Sn), specificity (Sp), likelihood ratios (LR), and PoTP values were available for 21 of 46 measures used as search terms. An additional 73 history questions, self-report measures, and performance-based measures were used in included articles; PoTP values could be calculated for 35. DATA SYNTHESIS: Evidence tables including PoTP values were constructed for 15 history questions, 15 self-report measures, and 26 performance-based measures. Recommendations for clinical practice were based on consensus. LIMITATIONS: Variations in study quality, procedures, and statistical analyses challenged data extraction, interpretation, and synthesis. There was insufficient data for calculation of PoTP values for 63 of 119 tests. CONCLUSIONS: No single test/measure demonstrated strong PoTP values. Five history questions, 2 self-report measures, and 5 performance-based measures may have clinical usefulness in assessing risk of falling on the basis of cumulative PoTP. Berg Balance Scale score (≤50 points), Timed Up and Go times (≥12 seconds), and 5 times sit-to-stand times (≥12) seconds are currently the most evidence-supported functional measures to determine individual risk of future falls. Shortfalls identified during review will direct researchers to address knowledge gaps.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8931/5158094/0a984c8c8783/jgpt-40-1-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8931/5158094/bbd482780b5b/jgpt-40-1-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8931/5158094/0a984c8c8783/jgpt-40-1-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8931/5158094/bbd482780b5b/jgpt-40-1-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8931/5158094/0a984c8c8783/jgpt-40-1-g002.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
A regression tree for identifying combinations of fall risk factors associated to recurrent falling: a cross-sectional elderly population-based study.

Aging Clin Exp Res. 2014-6

[2]
Factors associated with fear of falling and associated activity restriction in community-dwelling older adults: a systematic review.

Am J Geriatr Psychiatry. 2014-3-15

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Primary prevention of falls: effectiveness of a statewide program.

Am J Public Health. 2014-3-13

[4]
Is the Timed Up and Go test a useful predictor of risk of falls in community dwelling older adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BMC Geriatr. 2014-2-1

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Gender specific age-related changes in bone density, muscle strength and functional performance in the elderly: a-10 year prospective population-based study.

BMC Geriatr. 2013-7-6

[6]
Depression, antidepressants, and falls among community-dwelling elderly people: the MOBILIZE Boston study.

J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2013-7-1

[7]
Does the evaluation of gait quality during daily life provide insight into fall risk? A novel approach using 3-day accelerometer recordings.

Neurorehabil Neural Repair. 2013-6-17

[8]
Inferior physical performance tests in 10,998 men in the MrOS study is associated with recurrent falls.

Age Ageing. 2012-8-24

[9]
Medication use and associated risk of falling in a geriatric outpatient population.

Ann Pharmacother. 2012-8-7

[10]
Effect of lower limb strength on falls and balance of the elderly.

Ann Rehabil Med. 2012-6

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