Miranda-Filho Adalberto, Piñeros Marion, Soerjomataram Isabelle, Deltour Isabelle, Bray Freddie
National School of Public Health, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Section of Cancer Surveillance, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Neuro Oncol. 2017 Feb 1;19(2):270-280. doi: 10.1093/neuonc/now166.
Cancers of the brain and CNS constitute a group of rare and heterogeneous tumors. Increasing incidence in Western populations has been linked to improvements in diagnostic technology, although interpretation is hampered by changes in diagnosis and reporting. The present study examines geographic and temporal variations in incidence rates of brain and CNS cancers worldwide.
Data from successive volumes of Cancer Incidence in Five Continents were used, including 96 registries in 39 countries. We used Joinpoint regression to estimate the average annual percentage change and its 95% CI.
Globally, a large variability in the magnitude of the diagnosis of new cases of brain and CNS cancer was found, with a 5-fold difference between the highest rates (mainly in Europe) and the lowest (mainly in Asia). Increasing rates of brain and CNS cancer were found in South America, namely in Ecuador, Brazil, and Colombia; in eastern Europe (Czech Republic and Russia), in southern Europe (Slovenia), and in the 3 Baltic countries. Trends were similar between sexes, although decreasing trends in men and women were seen in Japan and New Zealand.
Important regional variations in brain and CNS cancers exist, and given an increasing burden and risk worldwide, there is a need for further etiological research that focuses on the elucidation of environmental risk. The trends are sufficiently complex and diffuse, however, to warrant a cautious approach to interpretation.
脑和中枢神经系统肿瘤是一组罕见且异质性的肿瘤。西方人群中发病率的上升与诊断技术的进步有关,尽管诊断和报告的变化阻碍了对发病率的解读。本研究调查了全球脑和中枢神经系统肿瘤发病率的地理和时间差异。
使用了来自《五大洲癌症发病率》连续几卷的数据,包括39个国家的96个登记处的数据。我们使用Joinpoint回归来估计年均变化百分比及其95%置信区间。
在全球范围内,脑和中枢神经系统癌症新发病例的诊断数量存在很大差异,最高发病率(主要在欧洲)和最低发病率(主要在亚洲)之间相差5倍。在南美洲,即厄瓜多尔、巴西和哥伦比亚,脑和中枢神经系统癌症的发病率呈上升趋势;在东欧(捷克共和国和俄罗斯)、南欧(斯洛文尼亚)以及3个波罗的海国家也呈上升趋势。两性之间的趋势相似,不过在日本和新西兰,男性和女性的发病率均呈下降趋势。
脑和中枢神经系统癌症存在重要的地区差异,并鉴于全球范围内不断增加的疾病负担和风险,需要进一步开展病因学研究,重点是阐明环境风险。然而,这些趋势足够复杂和分散,因此在解读时需要谨慎。