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利用生物物理模型管理农业源氮污染:对非专业用户来说是乌托邦式的还是现实可行的方法?法国洛林一个饮用水集水区的案例研究。

Using biophysical models to manage nitrogen pollution from agricultural sources: Utopic or realistic approach for non-scientist users? Case study of a drinking water catchment area in Lorraine, France.

作者信息

Bernard Pierre-Yves, Benoît Marc, Roger-Estrade Jean, Plantureux Sylvain

机构信息

Unité Agri'Terr, LaSalle Beauvais - Esitpa, 3 rue du Tronquet, CS40118, F-76134, Mont-Saint-Aignan Cedex, France.

UR 055 INRA SAD ASTER, 662 avenue Louis Buffet, F-88500, Mirecourt, France.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2016 Dec 1;183:260-274. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.08.050. Epub 2016 Sep 3.

DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.08.050
PMID:27596940
Abstract

The objectives of this comparison of two biophysical models of nitrogen losses were to evaluate first whether results were similar and second whether both were equally practical for use by non-scientist users. Results were obtained with the crop model STICS and the environmental model AGRIFLUX based on nitrogen loss simulations across a small groundwater catchment area (<1 km(2)) located in the Lorraine region in France. Both models simulate the influences of leaching and cropping systems on nitrogen losses in a relevant manner. The authors conclude that limiting the simulations to areas where soils with a greater risk of leaching cover a significant spatial extent would likely yield acceptable results because those soils have more predictable leaching of nitrogen. In addition, the choice of an environmental model such as AGRIFLUX which requires fewer parameters and input variables seems more user-friendly for agro-environmental assessment. The authors then discuss additional challenges for non-scientists such as lack of parameter optimization, which is essential to accurately assessing nitrogen fluxes and indirectly not to limit the diversity of uses of simulated results. Despite current restrictions, with some improvement, biophysical models could become useful environmental assessment tools for non-scientists.

摘要

本次对两种氮素损失生物物理模型进行比较的目的,一是评估结果是否相似,二是评估这两种模型对于非专业用户而言是否同样实用。研究结果是基于对法国洛林地区一个小型地下水集水区(面积小于1平方千米)的氮素损失模拟,使用作物模型STICS和环境模型AGRIFLUX得出的。这两种模型均以合理的方式模拟了淋溶和种植系统对氮素损失的影响。作者得出结论,将模拟限制在淋溶风险较高的土壤覆盖较大空间范围的区域,可能会得出可接受的结果,因为这些土壤的氮素淋溶更具可预测性。此外,选择像AGRIFLUX这样所需参数和输入变量较少的环境模型,对于农业环境评估而言似乎对用户更友好。作者随后讨论了非专业人士面临的其他挑战,比如缺乏参数优化,而参数优化对于准确评估氮通量以及间接不限制模拟结果的使用多样性至关重要。尽管目前存在限制,但经过一些改进,生物物理模型可能会成为非专业人士有用的环境评估工具。

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