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立陶宛北部气候变化的物候学研究——由希奥利艾大学物候园开展

Phenological research of climate changes in the north part of Lithuania by the phenological garden of Šiauliai University.

作者信息

Klimienė Asta, Vainorienė Rimanta, Klimas Ramutis

机构信息

Šiauliai University, Vilniaus str. 88, LT-76285, Šiauliai, Lithuania.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2017 Feb;61(2):293-301. doi: 10.1007/s00484-016-1211-2. Epub 2016 Sep 8.

Abstract

Šiauliai University Botanical Garden is a member of the International Phenological Garden network since 2005. It is the only one botanical garden in the East Europe that participated in the programme. In 2015, 18 species were observed. For research, data of 14 plants was used. The aim of this study is to estimate the responsiveness of the species of plants of the phenological garden to annual and monthly precipitation and temperature of the air. The main variables in this investigation were growing season length and the beginning of the growing season. In the period 2006-2015, the lowest annual air temperature was in 2010 (6.0 °C), and the highest was in 2015 (8.9 °C). The lowest precipitation was in 2015 (37.3 mm), and the highest was in 2012 (63.5 mm). The leanest regression among growing length, average annual precipitation, and air temperature showed that statistically significant correlation between growing length and average annual air temperature was found for nine plants, between growing length and precipitation was found for three plants, and between growing length and both factors was found for one plant, Salix smithiana, only. Due to the short evaluating period (2007-2015), consistent regression of the length of the growing season could not be found. The growing length of Betula pubescens sequentially increased. The average growing season of 14 plants starts on April 27 (±3), but for Corylus avellana, it is on April 26 (±3). Longevity of the growing season was the most related with precipitation for C. avellana in summer, autumn, and winter and with air temperature, Ribes alpinum and Salix acutifolia in summer and in autumn.

摘要

自2005年以来,希奥利艾大学植物园一直是国际物候园网络的成员。它是东欧唯一参与该项目的植物园。2015年,观测了18个物种。研究使用了14种植物的数据。本研究的目的是评估物候园植物物种对年降水量和月降水量以及气温的响应。本次调查的主要变量是生长季长度和生长季开始时间。在2006 - 2015年期间,年最低气温出现在2010年(6.0℃),最高气温出现在2015年(8.9℃)。最低降水量出现在2015年(37.3毫米),最高降水量出现在2012年(63.5毫米)。在生长长度、年均降水量和气温之间的最稀疏回归分析表明,在9种植物中发现生长长度与年均气温之间存在统计学显著相关性,在3种植物中发现生长长度与降水量之间存在相关性,仅在一种植物——锡金柳中发现生长长度与这两个因素之间存在相关性。由于评估期较短(2007 - 2015年),未发现生长季长度的一致回归关系。毛桦的生长长度依次增加。14种植物的平均生长季于4月27日(±±3天)开始,但榛树的平均生长季于4月26日(±±3天)开始。榛树在夏季、秋季和冬季的生长季持续时间与降水量最为相关,而醋栗和尖叶柳在夏季和秋季的生长季持续时间与气温最为相关。

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