Arrabal-Polo Miguel Angel, Cano-Garcia Maria Del Carmen, Huerta-Brunel Juan Esteban, Hidalgo-Agullo Guillermo, Roletto-Salmo Luis, Arrabal-Martín Miguel
Servicio de Urología del Hospital La Inmaculada, de Huércal Overa (Almería), España.
Departamento de Radiología, Hospital La Inmaculada, de Huércal Overa (Almería), España.
Int Braz J Urol. 2016 Sep-Oct;42(5):973-976. doi: 10.1590/S1677-5538.IBJU.2015.0686. Epub 2016 Sep 1.
The aim of this work is to study the density of the renal papillae in stone-forming patients and to determine its usefulness.
This study included a total of 79 patients diagnosed with renal stones and on whom a computed tomography without contrast was performed from June 2014 to May 2015. The patients were divided into two groups: Group 1 (single ep¬isode) included 43 patients, and Group 2 (recurrent episodes) included 36 patients. The density of six renal papillae (3 per kidney) was measured, and the means obtained were compared between Groups 1 and 2. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 20.0.
The mean papillary density in Group 1 was 32.26 (SD 4.07) HU compared to 42.36 (SD 8.03) HU in Group 2 (P=00001). A ROC curve was constructed, obtaining an optimal cut-off point of 36.8HU [area under the curve, 0.881 (95% CI; 0.804-0.958); P=0001], with a sensitivity of 80% and a specificity of 90%. The relative risk was estimated at 40.3 (95% CI; 10.8-151.1), meaning that a patient with a mean papillary density greater than 36.8HU would have a 40 times greater risk of having recurrent renal stones. The positive predictive value (PPV) was 81% and the negative predictive value (NPV) was 90%.
The measurement of renal papillary density could be useful in predicting recurrent stone-formers. These results need to be confirmed in future studies with a greater number of patients and a longer follow-up.
本研究旨在探讨结石形成患者肾乳头的密度,并确定其应用价值。
本研究共纳入79例诊断为肾结石的患者,于2014年6月至2015年5月对其进行了非增强计算机断层扫描。患者分为两组:第1组(单次发作)包括43例患者,第2组(复发发作)包括36例患者。测量了六个肾乳头(每侧肾脏3个)的密度,并比较了第1组和第2组的均值。使用SPSS 20.0进行统计分析。
第1组乳头平均密度为32.26(标准差4.07)HU,而第2组为42.36(标准差8.03)HU(P = 0.0001)。构建了ROC曲线,得到最佳截断点为36.8HU [曲线下面积,0.881(95% CI;0.804 - 0.958);P = 0.001],敏感性为80%,特异性为90%。相对风险估计为40.3(95% CI;10.8 - 151.1),这意味着平均乳头密度大于36.8HU的患者复发性肾结石的风险高40倍。阳性预测值(PPV)为81%,阴性预测值(NPV)为90%。
肾乳头密度测量可能有助于预测复发性结石形成者。这些结果需要在未来更多患者和更长随访时间的研究中得到证实。