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社会快速变革时期婚姻解体的预测因素:来自南亚的证据。

Predictors of Marital Dissolution During a Period of Rapid Social Change: Evidence From South Asia.

作者信息

Jennings Elyse A

机构信息

Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies, 9 Bow Street, Cambridge, MA, 02138, USA.

出版信息

Demography. 2016 Oct;53(5):1351-1375. doi: 10.1007/s13524-016-0504-8.

Abstract

Few studies have examined the causes and consequences of marital dissolution in non-Western settings. This article explores the fundamental factors that may predict marital dissolution in a mainly agrarian setting in South Asia, where collectivism has historically been valued over individualism and where life is centered on the family. Using event history analyses with retrospective life history data from the Chitwan Valley Family Study conducted in rural Nepal, I explore the possible predictors of marital dissolution. Results suggest that couples in which wives married at older ages and chose their spouse in conjunction with their parents face lower risk of marital dissolution, while wives' work increases the risk. Moreover, couples married for longer durations and couples who have more children face lower risks of marital dissolution. The influences of many of these factors have changed over the last few decades, pointing toward the important role of changing social context on marital trajectories.

摘要

很少有研究考察非西方背景下婚姻解体的原因和后果。本文探讨了在南亚一个主要以农业为主的地区可能预测婚姻解体的基本因素,在该地区,集体主义在历史上一直比个人主义更受重视,且生活以家庭为中心。利用来自尼泊尔农村奇旺山谷家庭研究的回顾性生活史数据进行事件史分析,我探究了婚姻解体的可能预测因素。结果表明,妻子结婚年龄较大且与父母共同选择配偶的夫妻婚姻解体风险较低,而妻子工作会增加这种风险。此外,结婚时间较长的夫妻以及子女较多的夫妻婚姻解体风险较低。在过去几十年里,许多这些因素的影响发生了变化,这表明社会背景变化对婚姻轨迹具有重要作用。

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