Del Fava Emanuele, Piccarreta Raffaella, Gregson Simon, Melegaro Alessia
Carlo F. Dondena Centre for Research on Social Dynamics and Public Policy, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy.
Department of Decision Science, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy.
PLoS One. 2016 Sep 29;11(9):e0163730. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0163730. eCollection 2016.
The relationship between the risk of acquiring human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and people's choices about life course events describing the transition to parenthood-sexual debut, union (in the form of marriage, cohabitation, or long-term relationship), and parenthood-is still unclear. A crucial role in shaping this relationship may be played by the sequence of these events and by their timing. This suggests the opportunity to focus on the life courses in their entirety rather than on the specific events, thus adopting a holistic approach that regards each individual's life course trajectory as a whole.
We summarise the individual life courses describing the transition to parenthood using ordered sequences of the three considered events. We aim to (i) investigate the association between the sequences and HIV infection, and (ii) understand how these sequences interact with known mechanisms for HIV transmission, such as the length of sexual exposure and the experience of non-regular sexual partnerships. For this purpose, we use data from a general population cohort study run in Manicaland (Zimbabwe), a Sub-Saharan African area characterised by high HIV prevalence.
For both genders, individuals who experienced either premarital or delayed childbearing have higher HIV risk compared to individuals following more standard transitions. This can be explained by the interplay of the sequences with known HIV proximate determinants, e.g., a longer exposure to sexual activity and higher rates of premarital sex. Moreover, we found that people in the younger birth cohorts experience more normative and safer sequences.
The shift of younger generations towards more normative transitions to parenthood is a sign of behaviour change that might have contributed to the observed reduction in HIV prevalence in the area. On the other hand, for people with less normative transitions, targeted strategies are essential for HIV prevention.
获得人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)感染的风险与人们在描述向父母身份转变的人生历程事件(性初次接触、结合[以婚姻、同居或长期关系的形式]和为人父母)方面的选择之间的关系仍不明确。这些事件的顺序及其发生时间可能在塑造这种关系中发挥关键作用。这表明有机会关注整个生命历程而非具体事件,从而采用一种将每个人的生命历程轨迹视为一个整体的整体方法。
我们使用所考虑的三个事件的有序序列来总结描述向父母身份转变的个人生命历程。我们旨在(i)研究这些序列与HIV感染之间的关联,以及(ii)了解这些序列如何与已知的HIV传播机制相互作用,例如性接触时长和非固定性伴侣经历。为此,我们使用了在马尼卡兰(津巴布韦)开展的一项普通人群队列研究的数据,该地区是撒哈拉以南非洲的一个HIV高流行地区。
对于男性和女性而言,与经历更标准转变的个体相比,经历婚前生育或延迟生育的个体感染HIV的风险更高。这可以通过这些序列与已知的HIV近期决定因素之间的相互作用来解释,例如性活动暴露时间更长以及婚前性行为发生率更高。此外,我们发现较年轻出生队列中的人经历的序列更规范、更安全。
年轻一代向更规范的为人父母转变的趋势是行为改变的一个迹象,这可能促成了该地区观察到的HIV流行率下降。另一方面,对于经历不太规范转变的人来说,有针对性的策略对于预防HIV至关重要。