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孟加拉国意外生育的相关因素:一项路径分析研究

Correlates of Unwanted Births in Bangladesh: A Study through Path Analysis.

作者信息

Roy Tapan Kumar, Singh Brijesh P

机构信息

Department of Population Science and Human Resource Development, Rajshahi University, Rajshahi-6205, Bangladesh.

Faculty of Commerce, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi-221005, Uttar Pradesh, India.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2016 Oct 6;11(10):e0164007. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0164007. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Unwanted birth is an important public health concern due to its negative association with adverse outcomes of mothers and children as well as socioeconomic development of a country. Although a number of studies have been investigated the determinants of unwanted births through logistic regression analysis, an extensive assessment using path model is lacking. In the current study, we applied path analysis to know the important covariates for unwanted births in Bangladesh.

METHODS

The study used data extracted from Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS) 2011. It considered sub-sample consisted of 7,972 women who had given most recent births five years preceding the date of interview or who were currently pregnant at survey time. Correlation analysis was used to find out the significant association with unwanted births. This study provided the factors affecting unwanted births in Bangladesh. The path model was used to determine the direct, indirect and total effects of socio-demographic factors on unwanted births.

RESULTS

The result exhibited that more than one-tenth of the recent births were unwanted in Bangladesh. The differentials of unwanted births were women's age, education, age at marriage, religion, socioeconomic status, exposure of mass-media and use of family planning. In correlation analysis, it showed that unwanted births were positively correlated with women age and place of residence and these relationships were significant. On the contrary, unwanted births were inversely significantly correlated with education and social status. The total effects of endogenous variables such as women age, place of residence and use of family planning methods had favorable effect on unwanted births.

CONCLUSION

Policymakers and program planners need to design programs and services carefully to reduce unwanted births in Bangladesh, especially, service should focus on helping those groups of women who were identified in the analysis as being at increased risks of unwanted births- older women, illiterate, low socioeconomic status, early age at marriage and rural poor susceptible women.

摘要

背景

意外生育是一个重要的公共卫生问题,因为它与母婴不良结局以及国家的社会经济发展存在负面关联。尽管已有多项研究通过逻辑回归分析调查了意外生育的决定因素,但缺乏使用路径模型进行的全面评估。在本研究中,我们应用路径分析来了解孟加拉国意外生育的重要协变量。

方法

该研究使用了从2011年孟加拉国人口与健康调查(BDHS)中提取的数据。它考虑了一个子样本,该子样本由7972名妇女组成,这些妇女在访谈日期前五年内生育了最近的孩子,或者在调查时正在怀孕。使用相关分析来找出与意外生育的显著关联。本研究提供了影响孟加拉国意外生育的因素。路径模型用于确定社会人口因素对意外生育的直接、间接和总体影响。

结果

结果显示,在孟加拉国,超过十分之一的近期生育是意外生育。意外生育的差异在于妇女的年龄、教育程度、结婚年龄、宗教、社会经济地位、接触大众媒体情况和计划生育的使用。在相关分析中,结果表明意外生育与妇女年龄和居住地呈正相关,且这些关系具有显著性。相反,意外生育与教育程度和社会地位呈显著负相关。妇女年龄、居住地和计划生育方法使用等内生变量的总体影响对意外生育有有利作用。

结论

政策制定者和项目规划者需要精心设计项目和服务,以减少孟加拉国的意外生育,特别是,服务应侧重于帮助那些在分析中被确定为意外生育风险增加的女性群体——老年妇女、文盲、社会经济地位低、早婚以及农村贫困易感妇女。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8266/5053476/9250a7e5aa93/pone.0164007.g001.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Unintended pregnancy among rural women in Bangladesh.
Int Q Community Health Educ. 2011;32(2):101-13. doi: 10.2190/IQ.32.2.b.
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