US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, 3909 Halls Ferry Road, Vicksburg, MS 39180, USA.
US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, 3909 Halls Ferry Road, Vicksburg, MS 39180, USA.
Sci Total Environ. 2017 Jan 1;574:1164-1173. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.09.155. Epub 2016 Oct 14.
Wild pigs are a widespread invasive species that pose significant environmental and social risks. A number of wild pig eradication and control measures exist, but many eradication campaigns are ultimately unsuccessful. Decision making regarding how to design and execute an eradication plan is difficult because of multiple costs and benefits spanning various decision criteria that are associated with different eradication and control countermeasures. Moreover, multiple stakeholders are often involved with differing and sometimes competing objectives, and wild pigs are adaptive adversaries, meaning that the ideal countermeasure may change over time. In this paper, we propose the use of formal decision analytic tools which can structure decision problems into a set of relevant criteria, countermeasures, and stakeholder preferences to facilitate the evaluation of tradeoffs. We operationalize this method in a simple Excel-based decision tool and conclude with a path forward regarding how to successfully implement such tools for effective wild pig control.
野猪是一种广泛存在的入侵物种，它们对环境和社会构成重大风险。目前存在一些野猪的根除和控制措施，但许多根除行动最终都以失败告终。由于与不同的根除和控制对策相关的各种决策标准涉及到多种成本和效益，因此在设计和执行根除计划方面做出决策是困难的。此外，通常涉及多个利益相关者，他们的目标不同，有时甚至相互竞争，而且野猪是适应性很强的对手，这意味着理想的对策可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。在本文中，我们提出使用正式的决策分析工具，将决策问题构建成一组相关的标准、对策和利益相关者偏好，以促进权衡的评估。我们将这种方法在一个简单的基于 Excel 的决策工具中进行了实现，并就如何成功地实施这些工具以实现有效的野猪控制提出了前进的方向。
