Chen Qiushi, Jain Nitin, Ayer Turgay, Wierda William G, Flowers Christopher R, O'Brien Susan M, Keating Michael J, Kantarjian Hagop M, Chhatwal Jagpreet
Qiushi Chen and Turgay Ayer, Georgia Institute of Technology; Christopher R. Flowers, Emory University, Atlanta, GA; Qiushi Chen and Jagpreet Chhatwal, Massachusetts General Hospital; Jagpreet Chhatwal, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Nitin Jain, William G. Wierda, Michael J. Keating, and Hagop M. Kantarjian, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX; and Susan M. O'Brien, University of California Irvine Medical Center, Orange, CA.
J Clin Oncol. 2017 Jan 10;35(2):166-174. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2016.68.2856. Epub 2016 Nov 21.
Purpose Oral targeted therapies represent a significant advance for the treatment of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL); however, their high cost has raised concerns about affordability and the economic impact on society. Our objective was to project the future prevalence and cost burden of CLL in the era of oral targeted therapies in the United States. Methods We developed a simulation model that evaluated the evolving management of CLL from 2011 to 2025: chemoimmunotherapy (CIT) as the standard of care before 2014, oral targeted therapies for patients with del(17p) and relapsed CLL from 2014, and for first-line treatment from 2016 onward. A comparator scenario also was simulated where CIT remained the standard of care throughout. Disease progression and survival parameters for each therapy were based on published clinical trials. Results The number of people living with CLL in the United States is projected to increase from 128,000 in 2011 to 199,000 by 2025 (55% increase) due to improved survival; meanwhile, the annual cost of CLL management will increase from $0.74 billion to $5.13 billion (590% increase). The per-patient lifetime cost of CLL treatment will increase from $147,000 to $604,000 (310% increase) as oral targeted therapies become the first-line treatment. For patients enrolled in Medicare, the corresponding total out-of-pocket cost will increase from $9,200 to $57,000 (520% increase). Compared with the CIT scenario, oral targeted therapies resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $189,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. Conclusion The increased benefit and cost of oral targeted therapies is projected to enhance CLL survivorship but can impose a substantial financial burden on both patients and payers. More sustainable pricing strategies for targeted therapies are needed to avoid financial toxicity to patients.
目的 口服靶向疗法是慢性淋巴细胞白血病(CLL)患者治疗方面的一项重大进展;然而,其高昂的成本引发了对可负担性以及对社会经济影响的担忧。我们的目标是预测美国口服靶向疗法时代CLL未来的患病率和成本负担。方法 我们开发了一个模拟模型,评估2011年至2025年CLL不断演变的管理方式:2014年前以化疗免疫疗法(CIT)作为标准治疗方法,2014年起为del(17p)和复发CLL患者使用口服靶向疗法,2016年起用于一线治疗。还模拟了一个对照情景,即CIT在整个期间均为标准治疗方法。每种疗法的疾病进展和生存参数均基于已发表的临床试验。结果 由于生存率提高,预计美国CLL患者人数将从2011年的12.8万增加到2025年的19.9万(增长55%);与此同时,CLL管理的年度成本将从7.4亿美元增加到51.3亿美元(增长590%)。随着口服靶向疗法成为一线治疗方法,CLL治疗的人均终身成本将从14.7万美元增加到60.4万美元(增长310%)。对于参加医疗保险的患者,相应的自付费用总额将从9200美元增加到5.7万美元(增长520%)。与CIT情景相比,口服靶向疗法导致的增量成本效益比为每质量调整生命年18.9万美元。结论 预计口服靶向疗法增加的效益和成本将提高CLL患者的生存率,但会给患者和支付方带来巨大的经济负担。需要更具可持续性的靶向疗法定价策略,以避免给患者带来经济毒性。