Temple M T, Leino E V
Br J Addict. 1989 Aug;84(8):889-99. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.1989.tb00761.x.
This paper examines long-term changes in drinking, with regard to: (a) the degree to which overall patterns of drinking have shifted or remained across a 20-year period; (b) whether these patterns vary on the basis of age; and (c) the degree to which distinct patterns of drinking may be differentially subject to mortality and/or nonresponse. Data for this investigation are from a 20-year prospective follow-up study of two general population surveys. The first of these was originally interviewed in 1964 and consists of interviews with 405 males aged 23 and older; the second, originally interviewed in 1967, consists of interviews with 786 males aged 21-59. The results indicate that while consumption was modestly associated with mortality from all causes, no significant relationship was observed between consumption and non-response. The results also indicate that as respondents aged 20 years, mean levels of alcohol consumption remained stable. This was true despite the fact that when individual respondents did change their drinking, they were more likely to decrease their consumption than increase it. These results do not support conclusion drawn from cross-sectional studies that aging modifies consumption patterns.
本文研究了饮酒的长期变化，涉及以下方面：（a）在20年期间饮酒总体模式的转变程度或保持情况；（b）这些模式是否因年龄而异；（c）不同饮酒模式在死亡率和/或无应答方面的差异程度。本调查的数据来自对两项一般人群调查的20年前瞻性随访研究。其中第一项调查于1964年首次进行访谈，包括对405名23岁及以上男性的访谈；第二项调查于1967年首次进行访谈，包括对786名21 - 59岁男性的访谈。结果表明，虽然饮酒量与所有原因导致的死亡率存在适度关联，但未观察到饮酒量与无应答之间存在显著关系。结果还表明，随着受访者年龄增长20岁，酒精消费的平均水平保持稳定。尽管个别受访者确实改变了饮酒习惯，但他们更倾向于减少饮酒量而非增加饮酒量，情况依然如此。这些结果不支持横断面研究得出的老龄化会改变消费模式的结论。
