Suppr超能文献

核能的未来何在?化石燃料主导的艾伯塔省的风能与减排目标。

Is There a Future for Nuclear Power? Wind and Emission Reduction Targets in Fossil-Fuel Alberta.

作者信息

van Kooten G Cornelis, Duan Jun, Lynch Rachel

机构信息

Department of Economics. University of Victoria, Victoria, Canada.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2016 Nov 30;11(11):e0165822. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0165822. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

This paper explores the viability of relying on wind power to replace upwards of 60% of electricity generation in Alberta that would be lost if coal-fired generation is phased out. Using hourly wind data from 17 locations across Alberta, we are able to simulate the potential wind power output available to the Alberta grid when modern, 3.5 MW-capacity wind turbines are spread across the province. Using wind regimes for the years 2006 through 2015, we find that available wind power is less than 60% of installed capacity 98% of the time, and below 30% of capacity 74% of the time. There is only a small amount of correlation between wind speeds at different locations, but yet it remains necessary to rely on fossil fuel generation. Then, based on the results from a grid allocation model, we find that CO2 emissions can be reduced by about 30%, but only through a combination of investment in wind energy and reliance on purchases of hydropower from British Columbia. Only if nuclear energy is permitted into the generation mix would Alberta be able to meet its CO2-emissions reduction target in the electricity sector. With nuclear power, emissions can be reduced by upwards of 85%.

摘要

本文探讨了依靠风力发电来取代艾伯塔省超过60%的发电量的可行性,若逐步淘汰燃煤发电,这些电量将会损失。利用艾伯塔省17个地点的每小时风力数据,我们能够模拟当现代的3.5兆瓦容量风力涡轮机遍布全省时,艾伯塔电网可获得的潜在风力发电量。利用2006年至2015年的风况,我们发现98%的时间里,可用风力发电量低于装机容量的60%,74%的时间里低于装机容量的30%。不同地点的风速之间只有少量相关性,但仍有必要依赖化石燃料发电。然后,基于电网分配模型的结果,我们发现二氧化碳排放量可减少约30%,但这只有通过投资风能和依赖从不列颠哥伦比亚省购买水电才能实现。只有允许核能进入发电组合,艾伯塔省才能实现其电力部门的二氧化碳减排目标。有了核能,排放量可减少超过85%。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7309/5130199/be5012d847af/pone.0165822.g001.jpg

相似文献

1
Is There a Future for Nuclear Power? Wind and Emission Reduction Targets in Fossil-Fuel Alberta.
PLoS One. 2016 Nov 30;11(11):e0165822. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0165822. eCollection 2016.
2
Optimal investment in electric generating capacity under climate policy.
J Environ Manage. 2019 Feb 15;232:66-72. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.11.038. Epub 2018 Nov 20.
3
Electricity generation: options for reduction in carbon emissions.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2002 Aug 15;360(1797):1653-68. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2002.1025.
4
Energetic valorization of wood waste: estimation of the reduction in CO2 emissions.
Sci Total Environ. 2011 Sep 1;409(19):3595-602. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.04.059. Epub 2011 Jun 29.
5
The winds of change.
Time. 2002 Aug 26;160(9):A40-4.
6
Wind energy.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2007 Apr 15;365(1853):957-70. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2006.1955.
7
Emissions and energy efficiency assessment of baseload wind energy systems.
Environ Sci Technol. 2005 Mar 15;39(6):1903-11. doi: 10.1021/es049946p.
8
Emissions impacts of wind and energy storage in a market environment.
Environ Sci Technol. 2011 Dec 15;45(24):10728-35. doi: 10.1021/es2007353. Epub 2011 Nov 15.
9
Costs for integrating wind into the future ERCOT system with related costs for savings in CO2 emissions.
Environ Sci Technol. 2011 Apr 1;45(7):3160-6. doi: 10.1021/es103948t. Epub 2011 Mar 4.
10
Renewable energy and sustainable communities: Alaska's wind generator experience.
Int J Circumpolar Health. 2013 Aug 5;72. doi: 10.3402/ijch.v72i0.21520. eCollection 2013.

引用本文的文献

1
Nuclear energy acceptance in Poland: From societal attitudes to effective policy strategies-Network modeling approach.
PLoS One. 2024 Aug 2;19(8):e0305115. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305115. eCollection 2024.

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验