Tanaka Tae, Taguri Masataka, Fumita Soichi, Okamoto Kunio, Matsuo Yoshio, Hayashi Hidetoshi
Department of Medical Oncology, Kishiwada Municipal Hospital, Kishiwada, Osaka, Japan.
Department of Respiratory Medicine, Kurashiki Central Hospital, Kurashiki, Okayama, Japan.
Support Care Cancer. 2017 May;25(5):1409-1415. doi: 10.1007/s00520-016-3535-1. Epub 2016 Dec 13.
The purpose of the study was to identify factors that predict unplanned admission for metastatic cancer patients visiting the emergency department (ED).
Patients visiting the ED of a general hospital from April 2012 to March 2013 were investigated retrospectively. Data including demographics, vital signs, and laboratory measurements were collected from a chart review for each patient. Factors related to emergency admission were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses.
A total of 15,716 individuals visiting the ED during the study period included 1244 (7.9%) patients with cancer. Among the 491 cancer patients with metastasis, univariate analysis revealed that emergency admission was significantly associated with an age of ≥76 years; an altered mental status; fever (≥38 °C); a blood oxygen saturation of <90%; a white blood cell (WBC) count of ≤2000 or ≥10,000/μL; hypoalbuminemia (≤2.5 g/dL); and elevated levels of aspartate aminotransferase (≥100 IU/L), blood urea nitrogen (≥25 mg/dL), and C-reactive protein (CRP, ≥10 mg/dL). Multivariate analysis identified age, an altered mental status, hypoxemia, an abnormal WBC count, and elevated CRP as putative independent predictive factors for emergency admission. The number of these five factors present was also correlated with 30-day mortality (c-statistic = 0.72).
Age, unconsciousness, hypoxemia, an abnormal WBC count, and elevated CRP were found to be associated with emergency admission and 30-day mortality for metastatic cancer patients. Prospective validation of a predictive scoring system based on these findings is warranted.
本研究旨在确定预测转移性癌症患者前往急诊科(ED)后非计划入院的因素。
回顾性调查2012年4月至2013年3月期间前往一家综合医院急诊科就诊的患者。通过查阅每位患者的病历收集包括人口统计学、生命体征和实验室检查结果等数据。通过单因素和多因素分析确定与急诊入院相关的因素。
在研究期间前往急诊科就诊的15716名患者中,有1244名(7.9%)癌症患者。在491名转移性癌症患者中,单因素分析显示急诊入院与以下因素显著相关:年龄≥76岁;精神状态改变;发热(≥38℃);血氧饱和度<90%;白细胞(WBC)计数≤2000或≥10000/μL;低白蛋白血症(≤2.5g/dL);以及天冬氨酸转氨酶(≥100IU/L)、血尿素氮(≥25mg/dL)和C反应蛋白(CRP,≥10mg/dL)水平升高。多因素分析确定年龄、精神状态改变、低氧血症、白细胞计数异常和CRP升高为急诊入院的假定独立预测因素。这五个因素出现的数量也与30天死亡率相关(c统计量=0.72)。
发现年龄、意识不清、低氧血症、白细胞计数异常和CRP升高与转移性癌症患者的急诊入院和30天死亡率相关。基于这些发现对预测评分系统进行前瞻性验证是有必要的。