Wolf Katharina
Population Research Centre, Department of Demography, Faculty of Spacial Sciences, University of Groningen, Landleven 1, 9747 AD Groningen, The Netherlands ; Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Eur J Popul. 2016;32(5):731-759. doi: 10.1007/s10680-016-9402-4. Epub 2016 Oct 27.
Our study focuses on the fertility of first-generation female and male Turkish migrants in Germany. To evaluate whether timing effects such as fertility disruption or an interrelation of marriage, migration and childbirth occur, we examine first and second births in the years before and after immigration to Germany. The Turkish sample of the Generations and Gender Survey which was conducted in 2006 offers the unique opportunity to examine Turkish immigrants as a single immigrant category. We question the common understanding that Turkish immigrants who arrived to Germany after 1973 mainly arrived for family reunification resulting in high birth intensities immediately after immigration. To distinguish different circumstances under which male and female immigrants have arrived to Germany, we include the combined marriage and migration history of the couple. We find that first birth probabilities are elevated during the years immediately following migration. But this effect is not universal among migrants with different marriage and migration histories. It appears that the arrival effect of high birth intensities is particularly high among female immigrants and is evident only among marriage migrants, that is Turks who married a partner who already lived in Germany at the time of the wedding. By contrast, among those who immigrated for family reunification, we do not find such an arrival effect.
我们的研究聚焦于德国第一代土耳其移民中女性和男性的生育情况。为了评估生育中断等时间效应,或者婚姻、移民和生育之间的相互关系是否存在,我们考察了移民到德国前后年份的头胎和二胎生育情况。2006年开展的“世代与性别调查”中的土耳其样本提供了一个独特的机会,可将土耳其移民作为单一移民类别进行考察。我们对一种普遍观点提出质疑,即1973年之后抵达德国的土耳其移民主要是为了家庭团聚,导致移民后立即出现高生育强度。为了区分男性和女性移民抵达德国的不同情况,我们纳入了夫妻双方的婚姻和移民综合历史。我们发现,在移民后的头几年,头胎生育概率有所提高。但这种影响在具有不同婚姻和移民历史的移民中并不普遍。似乎高生育强度的抵达效应在女性移民中尤为明显,并且仅在婚姻移民中显著,即那些在婚礼时嫁给已在德国生活的伴侣的土耳其人。相比之下,在那些为了家庭团聚而移民的人中,我们没有发现这种抵达效应。