Kutz Alexander, Hausfater Pierre, Amin Devendra, Amin Adina, Canavaggio Pauline, Sauvin Gabrielle, Bernard Maguy, Conca Antoinette, Haubitz Sebastian, Struja Tristan, Huber Andreas, Mueller Beat, Schuetz Philipp
Division of General and Emergency Medicine; University Department of Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Emergency Department, Groupe Hospitalier Pitié-Salpêtrière, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (APHP), Paris, France.
PLoS One. 2016 Dec 22;11(12):e0168076. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0168076. eCollection 2016.
The inflammatory biomarker pro-adrenomedullin (ProADM) provides additional prognostic information for the risk stratification of general medical emergency department (ED) patients. The aim of this analysis was to develop a triage algorithm for improved prognostication and later use in an interventional trial.
We used data from the multi-national, prospective, observational TRIAGE trial including consecutive medical ED patients from Switzerland, France and the United States. We investigated triage effects when adding ProADM at two established cut-offs to a five-level ED triage score with respect to adverse clinical outcome.
Mortality in the 6586 ED patients showed a step-wise, 25-fold increase from 0.6% to 4.5% and 15.4%, respectively, at the two ProADM cut-offs (≤0.75nmol/L, >0.75-1.5nmol/L, >1.5nmol/L, p ANOVA <0.0001). Risk stratification by combining ProADM within cut-off groups and the triage score resulted in the identification of 1662 patients (25.2% of the population) at a very low risk of mortality (0.3%, n = 5) and 425 patients (6.5% of the population) at very high risk of mortality (19.3%, n = 82). Risk estimation by using ProADM and the triage score from a logistic regression model allowed for a more accurate risk estimation in the whole population with a classification of 3255 patients (49.4% of the population) in the low risk group (0.3% mortality, n = 9) and 1673 (25.4% of the population) in the high-risk group (15.1% mortality, n = 252).
Within this large international multicenter study, a combined triage score based on ProADM and established triage scores allowed a more accurate mortality risk discrimination. The TRIAGE-ProADM score improved identification of both patients at the highest risk of mortality who may benefit from early therapeutic interventions (rule in), and low risk patients where deferred treatment without negatively affecting outcome may be possible (rule out).
炎症生物标志物前肾上腺髓质素(ProADM)可为普通急诊科(ED)患者的风险分层提供额外的预后信息。本分析的目的是开发一种分诊算法,以改善预后并随后用于一项干预试验。
我们使用了来自多国、前瞻性、观察性TRIAGE试验的数据,该试验纳入了来自瑞士、法国和美国的连续就诊的急诊科患者。我们研究了在两个既定的临界值下将ProADM添加到五级急诊科分诊评分中对不良临床结局的分诊效果。
在6586例急诊科患者中,在两个ProADM临界值(≤0.75nmol/L、>0.75 - 1.5nmol/L、>1.5nmol/L)时,死亡率呈逐步上升趋势,分别从0.6%增至4.5%和15.4%(p方差分析<0.0001)。通过将临界值组内的ProADM与分诊评分相结合进行风险分层,识别出1662例患者(占总人群的25.2%)死亡风险极低(0.3%,n = 5),以及425例患者(占总人群的6.5%)死亡风险极高(19.3%,n = 82)。使用ProADM和逻辑回归模型中的分诊评分进行风险估计,能够在整个人群中进行更准确的风险估计,其中3255例患者(占总人群的49.4%)被分类为低风险组(死亡率0.3%,n = 9),1673例患者(占总人群的25.4%)被分类为高风险组(死亡率15.1%,n = 252)。
在这项大型国际多中心研究中,基于ProADM和既定分诊评分的联合分诊评分能够更准确地区分死亡风险。TRIAGE - ProADM评分改善了对可能从早期治疗干预中获益的高死亡风险患者(纳入规则)以及可能在不影响结局的情况下推迟治疗的低风险患者(排除规则)的识别。