Medical University Department, Division of General Internal and Emergency Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Faculty of Medicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Clin Chem Lab Med. 2021 Jan 14;59(6):1165-1176. doi: 10.1515/cclm-2020-1566. Print 2021 May 26.
Risk stratification in patients with infection is usually based on the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment-Score (SOFA score). Our aim was to investigate whether the vasoactive peptide mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) improves the predictive value of the SOFA score for 30-day mortality in patients with acute infection presenting to the emergency department (ED).
This secondary analysis of the prospective observational TRIAGE study included 657 patients with infection. The SOFA score, MR-proADM, and traditional inflammation markers were all measured at time of admission. Associations of admission parameters and 30-day mortality were investigated by measures of logistic regression, discrimination analyses, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination index (IDI).
MR-proADM values were higher in non-survivors compared with survivors (4.5±3.5 nmol/L vs. 1.7 ± 1.8 nmol/L) with an adjusted odds ratio of 26.6 (95% CI 3.92 to 180.61, p=0.001) per 1 nmol/L increase in admission MR-proADM levels and an area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) of 0.86. While the SOFA score alone revealed an AUC of 0.81, adding MR-proADM further improved discrimination (AUC 0.87) and classification within predefined risk categories (NRI 0.075, p-value <0.05). An admission MR-proADM threshold of 1.75 nmol/L provided the best prognostic accuracy for 30-day mortality; with a sensitivity of 81% and a specificity of 75%, and a negative predictive value of 98%.
MR-proADM improved the mortality risk stratification in patients with infection presenting to the ED beyond SOFA score alone and may further improve initial therapeutic site-of-care decisions.
ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01768494. Registered January 15, 2013.
感染患者的风险分层通常基于序贯器官衰竭评估评分(SOFA 评分)。我们的目的是研究血管活性肽中肾上腺髓质素前中段(MR-proADM)是否能提高 SOFA 评分对急诊就诊的急性感染患者 30 天死亡率的预测价值。
本研究是前瞻性观察性 TRIAGE 研究的二次分析,纳入了 657 名感染患者。在入院时均测量 SOFA 评分、MR-proADM 和传统炎症标志物。通过逻辑回归、判别分析、净重新分类指数(NRI)和综合判别指数(IDI)来评估入院参数与 30 天死亡率的关系。
与存活者相比,非幸存者的 MR-proADM 值更高(4.5±3.5 nmol/L 比 1.7±1.8 nmol/L),校正后的比值比为 26.6(95%CI 3.92 至 180.61,p=0.001),每增加 1 nmol/L 的入院 MR-proADM 水平,其受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.86。虽然 SOFA 评分单独的 AUC 为 0.81,但加入 MR-proADM 进一步提高了判别能力(AUC 0.87)和在预定风险类别中的分类(NRI 0.075,p 值 <0.05)。入院时 MR-proADM 阈值为 1.75 nmol/L 对 30 天死亡率具有最佳的预后准确性;敏感性为 81%,特异性为 75%,阴性预测值为 98%。
MR-proADM 提高了急诊就诊的感染患者的死亡率风险分层,优于单独的 SOFA 评分,并且可能进一步改善初始治疗地点的决策。
ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01768494。注册于 2013 年 1 月 15 日。