Zhao Lei, Zhang Huayong, Tian Wang, Li Ran, Xu Xiang
Research Center for Engineering Ecology and Nonlinear Science, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, 102206, China.
Research Center for Engineering Ecology and Nonlinear Science, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, 102206, China.
Math Biosci. 2017 Mar;285:55-60. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2016.12.006. Epub 2016 Dec 23.
Species loss is becoming a major threat to ecosystems. An urgent task in ecology is to predict the consequence of species loss which requires an extending of our traditional study of the topology of network structure to the population dynamic analyses in complex food webs. Here, via numerical simulations of the model combining structural networks with nonlinear bioenergetic models of population dynamics, we analyzed the secondary effects of species removal on biomass distribution and population stability, as well as the factors influencing these effects. We found that the biomass of target species, the nutrient supply, and the trophic level of target species were the three most significant determiners for the effects of species loss. Species loss had large negative effect on the biomass of the species with small biomass or intermediate trophic levels, especially in infertile environment. The population stability of the species with large biomass or low trophic level is easily to be influenced especially in nutrient-rich environment. Our findings indicate the species which are easily to be affected by species loss in food webs, which may help ecologists to outline a better conservation policy.
物种丧失正成为生态系统面临的主要威胁。生态学中的一项紧迫任务是预测物种丧失的后果,这需要将我们对网络结构拓扑的传统研究扩展到复杂食物网中的种群动态分析。在此,通过将结构网络与种群动态的非线性生物能量模型相结合的模型进行数值模拟,我们分析了物种移除对生物量分布和种群稳定性的次生效应,以及影响这些效应的因素。我们发现,目标物种的生物量、养分供应和目标物种的营养级是物种丧失效应的三个最显著决定因素。物种丧失对生物量小或营养级中等的物种的生物量有很大的负面影响,尤其是在贫瘠环境中。生物量大或营养级低的物种的种群稳定性很容易受到影响,尤其是在营养丰富的环境中。我们的研究结果指出了食物网中容易受到物种丧失影响的物种,这可能有助于生态学家制定更好的保护政策。