Kim Do Young, Han Kwang-Hyub, Jun Byungyool, Kim Tae Hyun, Park Sohee, Ward Thomas, Webster Samantha, McEwan Phil
Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Department of Preventive Medicine, Cha University College of Medicine, Kyung-Gi Province, South Korea.
PLoS One. 2017 Jan 6;12(1):e0167770. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0167770. eCollection 2017.
This study aims to investigate the cost-effectiveness of a one-time hepatitis C virus (HCV) screening and treatment program in South Korea where hepatitis B virus (HBV) prevails, in people aged 40-70, compared to current practice (no screening).
A published Markov model was used in conjunction with a screening and treatment decision tree to model patient cohorts, aged 40-49, 50-59 and 60-69 years, distributed across chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and compensated cirrhosis (CC) health states (82.5% and 17.5%, respectively). Based on a published seroepidemiology study, HCV prevalence was estimated at 0.60%, 0.80% and 1.53%, respectively. An estimated 71.7% of the population was screened. Post-diagnosis, 39.4% of patients were treated with a newly available all-oral direct-acting antiviral (DAA) regimen over 5 years. Published rates of sustained virologic response, disease management costs, transition rates and utilities were utilised.
Screening resulted in the identification of 43,635 previously undiagnosed patients across all cohorts. One-time HCV screening and treatment was estimated to be cost-effective across all cohorts; predicted incremental cost-effectiveness ratios ranged from $5,714 to $8,889 per quality-adjusted life year gained. Incremental costs associated with screening, treatment and disease management ranged from $156.47 to $181.85 million USD; lifetime costs-offsets associated with the avoidance of end stage liver disease complications ranged from $51.47 to $57.48 million USD.
One-time HCV screening and treatment in South Korean people aged 40-70 is likely to be highly cost-effective compared to the current practice of no screening.
本研究旨在调查在乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)流行的韩国,针对40 - 70岁人群开展一次性丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)筛查与治疗项目相较于当前做法(不进行筛查)的成本效益。
采用已发表的马尔可夫模型并结合筛查与治疗决策树,对年龄在40 - 49岁、50 - 59岁和60 - 69岁的患者队列进行建模,这些队列分布于慢性丙型肝炎(CHC)和代偿期肝硬化(CC)健康状态(分别为82.5%和17.5%)。根据一项已发表的血清流行病学研究,HCV患病率分别估计为0.60%、0.80%和1.53%。估计71.7%的人群接受了筛查。诊断后,39.4%的患者在5年内接受了一种新的全口服直接抗病毒药物(DAA)方案治疗。使用了已发表的持续病毒学应答率、疾病管理成本、转换率和效用值。
筛查在所有队列中识别出43,635名先前未被诊断的患者。一次性HCV筛查与治疗在所有队列中估计具有成本效益;预测的增量成本效益比为每获得一个质量调整生命年5,714美元至8,889美元。与筛查、治疗和疾病管理相关的增量成本在1.5647亿美元至1.8185亿美元之间;与避免终末期肝病并发症相关的终身成本抵消在5147万美元至5748万美元之间。
与当前不进行筛查的做法相比,对韩国40 - 70岁人群进行一次性HCV筛查与治疗可能具有很高的成本效益。