Warren C W, Monteith R S, Johnson J T
J Biosoc Sci. 1989 Oct;21(4):409-17.
Using Bongaarts' model, the relative importance of the proximate determinants of fertility is explored in five populations on the US-Mexico border. For the groups closest to natural fertility (the two Mexican groups), lactation, use of contraception, and marriage all were moderately important in terms of their direct effect on fertility. For the group with lowest fertility (Anglo-American), contraceptive use was an important factor inhibiting fertility; marriage was important but not nearly as important as contraceptive use. For the two US Mexican-American groups, contraceptive use was an important intermediate variable, not as important as for Anglo-Americans, but more important than it was for the two populations in Mexico. The proportion married was a moderately important factor for the Mexican-American groups. For these five populations the principal differences in fertility rates result from substantial differences in the use of effective contraception. Bongaarts' model proved very useful as an analytical framework in this study.
运用邦加茨模型,对美墨边境五个群体生育的近期决定因素的相对重要性进行了探究。对于最接近自然生育状态的群体(两个墨西哥群体)而言,哺乳、避孕措施的使用以及婚姻状况对生育的直接影响都具有一定重要性。对于生育率最低的群体(英裔美国人),避孕措施的使用是抑制生育的一个重要因素;婚姻状况也很重要,但远不及避孕措施的使用那么重要。对于两个美籍墨西哥人群体,避孕措施的使用是一个重要的中间变量,虽不像对英裔美国人那么重要,但比墨西哥的两个人口群体更为重要。结婚比例对美籍墨西哥人群体来说是一个具有一定重要性的因素。对于这五个群体而言,生育率的主要差异源于有效避孕措施使用上的显著不同。在本研究中,邦加茨模型作为一个分析框架被证明非常有用。