Freeman Michael D, Goodyear Shaun M, Leith Wendy M
Oregon Health and Science University School of Medicine, Portland, OR, USA.
CAPHRI School of Public Health and Primary Care, Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands.
Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 2017 Mar;136(3):331-336. doi: 10.1002/ijgo.12059. Epub 2016 Nov 30.
To evaluate the interaction and contribution of maternal and fetal risk factors associated with neonatal brachial plexus injury (BPI).
In a case-control study, matched maternal and neonatal discharge records were accessed from US State Inpatient Databases for New Jersey (2010-2012), Michigan (2010-2011), and Hawaii (2010-2011). Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to evaluate associations between risk factors and BPI. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to build predictive models, including two stratified models evaluating deliveries among obese and diabetic cohorts.
Among 376 325 deliveries, BPI was diagnosed in 274 (0.1%). Significant BPI risk factors included maternal obesity (odds ratio [OR] 2.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.7-4.4), maternal diabetes (OR 4.6, 95% CI 3.0-7.0), use of forceps (OR 4.6, 95% CI 2.3-9.0), and vacuum assistance (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.7-3.3). After adjusting for shoulder dystocia and other predictive factors, cesarean reduced the risk of BPI by 88% (OR 0.1, 95% CI 0.07-0.2). When stratified by obesity and diabetes, the ORs for BPI increased significantly for macrosomia, forceps, and vacuum assistance.
The analysis confirms and quantifies more precisely the impact of risk factors for neonatal BPI, and provides a reliable basis for evidence-based clinical decision-making models.
评估与新生儿臂丛神经损伤(BPI)相关的母体和胎儿危险因素的相互作用及影响。
在一项病例对照研究中,从美国新泽西州(2010 - 2012年)、密歇根州(2010 - 2011年)和夏威夷州(2010 - 2011年)的住院患者数据库中获取匹配的母体和新生儿出院记录。采用单因素和多因素逻辑回归评估危险因素与BPI之间的关联。利用受试者工作特征曲线下面积构建预测模型,包括两个评估肥胖和糖尿病队列分娩情况的分层模型。
在376325例分娩中,274例(0.1%)被诊断为BPI。显著的BPI危险因素包括母体肥胖(比值比[OR]2.7,95%置信区间[CI]1.7 - 4.4)、母体糖尿病(OR 4.6,95% CI 3.0 - 7.0)、使用产钳(OR 4.6,95% CI 2.3 - 9.0)和真空辅助(OR 2.3,95% CI 1.7 - 3.3)。在调整肩难产和其他预测因素后,剖宫产使BPI风险降低了88%(OR 0.1,95% CI 0.07 - 0.2)。按肥胖和糖尿病分层时,巨大儿、产钳和真空辅助的BPI比值比显著增加。
该分析更精确地证实并量化了新生儿BPI危险因素的影响,为基于证据的临床决策模型提供了可靠依据。