Woods Carl T, Veale James, Fransen Job, Robertson Sam, Collier Neil French
a Discipline of Sport and Exercise Science , James Cook University , Townsville , Queensland , Australia.
b Talent Pathway, Australian Football League , Melbourne , Victoria.
J Sports Sci. 2018 Jan;36(1):97-103. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2017.1282621. Epub 2017 Jan 26.
In team sport, classifying playing position based on a players' expressed skill sets can provide a guide to talent identification by enabling the recognition of performance attributes relative to playing position. Here, elite junior Australian football players were a priori classified into 1 of 4 common playing positions; forward, midfield, defence, and ruck. Three analysis approaches were used to assess the extent to which 12 in-game skill performance indicators could classify playing position. These were a linear discriminant analysis (LDA), random forest, and a PART decision list. The LDA produced classification accuracy of 56.8%, with class errors ranging from 19.6% (midfielders) to 75.0% (ruck). The random forest model performed at a slightly worse level (51.62%), with class errors ranging from 27.8% (midfielders) to 100% (ruck). The decision list revealed 6 rules capable of classifying playing position at accuracy of 70.1%, with class errors ranging from 14.4% (midfielders) to 100% (ruck). Although the PART decision list produced the greatest relative classification accuracy, the technical skill indicators reported were generally unable to accurately classify players according to their position using the 3 analysis approaches. This player homogeneity may complicate recruitment by constraining talent recruiter's ability to objectively recognise distinctive positional attributes.
在团队运动中,根据运动员所展现的技能组合对比赛位置进行分类,能够通过识别与比赛位置相关的表现属性,为人才识别提供指导。在此,澳大利亚青少年精英足球运动员被预先分为四个常见比赛位置之一:前锋、中场、后卫和中锋。使用了三种分析方法来评估12项比赛技能表现指标对比赛位置的分类程度。这些方法是线性判别分析(LDA)、随机森林和PART决策列表。线性判别分析的分类准确率为56.8%,分类错误率从19.6%(中场球员)到75.0%(中锋)不等。随机森林模型的表现稍差(51.62%),分类错误率从27.8%(中场球员)到100%(中锋)不等。决策列表揭示了6条能够以70.1%的准确率对比赛位置进行分类的规则,分类错误率从14.4%(中场球员)到100%(中锋)不等。尽管PART决策列表产生了最高的相对分类准确率,但所报告的技术技能指标通常无法使用这三种分析方法根据球员的位置准确地对他们进行分类。这种球员的同质性可能会限制人才招募者客观识别独特位置属性的能力,从而使招募工作变得复杂。