Leiva Alfonso, Esteva Magdalena, Llobera Joan, Macià Francesc, Pita-Fernández Salvador, González-Luján Luis, Sánchez-Calavera María A, Ramos María
Primary Care Research Unit of Mallorca, Baleares Health Services-IbSalut, 07005 Palma, España, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Palma, 07010 Palma, Spain.
Evaluation and Clinical Epidemiology Department, Hospital del Mar, Passeig Marítim 25-29, 08003, Barcelona, Spain.
Cancer Epidemiol. 2017 Apr;47:48-55. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2016.10.021. Epub 2017 Jan 23.
Survival rates from colorectal cancer (CRC) are highly variable in Europe. This variability could potentially be explained by differences in healthcare system delays in diagnosis. However, even when such delays are reduced, the relationship of the diagnostic interval (time from presentation with symptoms to diagnosis) with outcome is uncertain.
A total of 795 patients with CRC from 5 regions of Spain were retrospectively examined in this population-based multicenter study. Consecutive incident cases of CRC were identified from pathology services. The total diagnostic interval (TDI) was defined as the time from the first presentation with symptoms to diagnosis based on 3 different sources of information: (i) patient-recorded data (PR-TDI) by interview, (ii) hospital-recorded data (HR-TDI), and (iii) general practitioner-recorded data (GPR-TDI). Concordance correlation coefficients (CCCs) were used to estimate the agreement of 3 different TDIs. The TDIs of patients with different stages of CRC were also compared using the Kruskal-Wallis test.
The median TDI was 131days based on patient interview data, 91days based on HR data, and 111days based on GPR data. Overall, the agreement of these TDIs was poor (CCC=0.399, CCC=0.518, CCC=0.383). Univariate analysis indicated that the TDI was greater in those with less advanced CRC for all 3 methods of calculation, but this association was only statistically significant for the HR-TDI (p=0.021).
There is no evidence that patients with more advanced CRC have longer TDIs. In fact, we found an inverse relationship between the TDI and CRC stage, an example of the "waiting time paradox". This association may likely be due to the presence of unmeasured confounders as the stage when symptoms appear or the tumour aggressiveness.
欧洲结直肠癌(CRC)的生存率差异很大。这种差异可能是由医疗系统诊断延迟的差异所导致的。然而,即使减少了此类延迟,诊断间隔(从出现症状到确诊的时间)与预后的关系仍不明确。
在这项基于人群的多中心研究中,对来自西班牙5个地区的795例CRC患者进行了回顾性研究。从病理服务中识别出连续的CRC新发病例。总诊断间隔(TDI)定义为从首次出现症状到基于3种不同信息来源确诊的时间:(i)通过访谈获得的患者记录数据(PR-TDI),(ii)医院记录数据(HR-TDI),以及(iii)全科医生记录数据(GPR-TDI)。采用一致性相关系数(CCC)来估计3种不同TDI的一致性。还使用Kruskal-Wallis检验比较了不同CRC分期患者的TDI。
基于患者访谈数据的TDI中位数为131天,基于HR数据的为91天,基于GPR数据的为111天。总体而言,这些TDI的一致性较差(CCC = 0.399,CCC = 0.518,CCC = 0.383)。单因素分析表明,对于所有3种计算方法,CRC病情较轻的患者TDI更长,但这种关联仅在HR-TDI中具有统计学意义(p = 0.021)。
没有证据表明CRC病情较严重的患者TDI更长。事实上,我们发现TDI与CRC分期之间存在负相关,这是“等待时间悖论”的一个例子。这种关联可能是由于存在未测量的混杂因素,如症状出现时的分期或肿瘤侵袭性。