Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200011, China.
Institute of Vascular surgery, Division of Vascular surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
Sci Rep. 2017 Feb 1;7:41493. doi: 10.1038/srep41493.
Serum prealbumin is a clinically relevant indicator of nutritional status and inflammation in patients with acute kidney injury (AKI). This study aimed to determine whether serum prealbumin and its longitudinal changes over a week could improve the prediction of 90-day mortality in AKI patients. This prospective cohort study included 340 adults with AKI between 2014 and 2015. There were 94 (27.6%) patient deaths within 90 days. Serum prealbumin level <10 mg/dL at the time of AKI diagnosis was associated with a 155% increased death risk ratio (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.55; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18 to 5.49; P = 0.02). Serum prealbumin fall >4 mg/dL was also associated with 90-day mortality in adjusted Cox regression models (HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.06 to 3.03; P = 0.03). Compared to serum albumin, mortality-predictability of serum prealbumin (P = 0.01) and its changes (P = 0.01) were both increased. Adding prealbumin and its changes on the conventional covariates improved the prediction of progression to 90-day mortality (NRI 0.29, P = 0.04; aIDI 0.08; P = 0.03). In conclusion, serum prealbumin, and its changes were independent predictors of worse prognosis in AKI, and could be potential surrogates to better predict 90-day mortality.
血清前白蛋白是急性肾损伤(AKI)患者营养状况和炎症的临床相关指标。本研究旨在确定血清前白蛋白及其一周内的纵向变化是否能提高 AKI 患者 90 天死亡率的预测。这项前瞻性队列研究纳入了 2014 年至 2015 年间 340 名 AKI 成年患者。90 天内有 94 例(27.6%)患者死亡。AKI 诊断时血清前白蛋白水平<10mg/dL 与死亡风险比增加 155%相关(校正后危险比 [HR],2.55;95%置信区间 [CI],1.18 至 5.49;P=0.02)。在调整后的 Cox 回归模型中,血清前白蛋白下降>4mg/dL 也与 90 天死亡率相关(HR,1.79;95%CI,1.06 至 3.03;P=0.03)。与血清白蛋白相比,血清前白蛋白的死亡率预测能力(P=0.01)及其变化(P=0.01)均有所提高。在前白蛋白和其变化的基础上增加常规协变量可以提高向 90 天死亡率进展的预测能力(NRI 0.29,P=0.04;aIDI 0.08;P=0.03)。总之,血清前白蛋白及其变化是 AKI 预后不良的独立预测因素,可能是更好预测 90 天死亡率的潜在替代指标。