Stonehocker Jody, Muruthi Joyce, Rayburn William F
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of New Mexico School of Medicine, MSC 10 5580, 1 University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA.
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of New Mexico School of Medicine, MSC 10 5580, 1 University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA.
Obstet Gynecol Clin North Am. 2017 Mar;44(1):121-132. doi: 10.1016/j.ogc.2016.11.006.
Projections of supply and demand for obstetricians-gynecologists suggest a current minimal or modest shortage that will worsen in the future. The US adult female population is expected to increase by more than 20% by 2045 and represents a key driver for increased demand for health care services. The annual number of obstetrician-gynecologists (ob-gyn) residency graduates has increased negligibly, whereas the proportion accepted into fellowships increased steadily, reducing those in general practice. The gradual increase in proportion of ob-gyns who are women coincides with desires for more work-life balance and earlier retirement from clinical practice. As the supply of advanced practice providers of women's health services grows, the need for more ob-gyns could be less to meet the projected demand.
妇产科医生的供需预测表明，目前存在轻微或适度的短缺，未来情况将恶化。预计到2045年，美国成年女性人口将增加20%以上，这是医疗保健服务需求增加的关键驱动因素。妇产科住院医师毕业生的年度数量增长微不足道，而进入专科培训的比例稳步上升，减少了从事普通执业的人数。妇产科女性医生比例的逐渐增加与人们对更多工作与生活平衡以及更早从临床实践退休的愿望相吻合。随着女性健康服务高级执业提供者的供应增加，满足预计需求可能对更多妇产科医生的需求会减少。
