Jia Xiaobo, Zhao Qian, Guo Fen, Ma Shuqin, Zhang Yuan, Zang Xiaomiao
State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing, 100012, China.
Laboratory of Riverine Ecological Conservation and Technology, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing, 100012, China.
Environ Monit Assess. 2017 Mar;189(3):97. doi: 10.1007/s10661-017-5802-0. Epub 2017 Feb 6.
Specific conductivity is an increasingly important stressor for freshwater ecosystems. Interacting with other environmental factors, it may lead to habitat degradation and biodiversity loss. However, it is still poorly understood how the effect of specific conductivity on freshwater organisms is confounded by other environmental factors. In this study, a weight-of-evidence method was applied to evaluate the potential environmental factors that may confound the effect of specific conductivity on macroinvertebrate structure communities and identify the confounders affecting deriving conductivity benchmark in Hun-Tai River Basin, China. A total of seven potential environmental factors were assessed by six types of evidence (i.e., correlation of cause and confounder, correlation of effect and confounder, the contingency of high level cause and confounder, the removal of confounder, levels of confounder known to cause effects, and multivariate statistics for confounding). Results showed that effects of dissolved oxygen (DO), fecal coliform, habitat score, total phosphorus (TP), pH, and temperature on the relationship between sensitive genera loss and specific conductivity were minimal and manageable. NH-N was identified as a confounder affecting deriving conductivity benchmark for macroinvertebrate. The potential confounding by high NH-N was minimized by removing sites with NH-N > 2.0 mg/L from the data set. Our study tailored the weighting method previously developed by USEPA to use field data to develop causal relationships for basin-scale applications and may provide useful information for pollution remediation and natural resource management.
电导率是淡水生态系统中一个日益重要的压力源。它与其他环境因素相互作用,可能导致栖息地退化和生物多样性丧失。然而,对于电导率对淡水生物的影响如何被其他环境因素混淆,人们仍然知之甚少。在本研究中,采用证据权重法评估了可能混淆电导率对大型无脊椎动物结构群落影响的潜在环境因素,并识别了影响中国浑太河流域电导率基准推导的混杂因素。通过六种类型的证据(即原因与混杂因素的相关性、效应与混杂因素的相关性、高水平原因与混杂因素的偶然性、混杂因素的去除、已知会导致效应的混杂因素水平以及混杂因素的多元统计)评估了总共七个潜在环境因素。结果表明,溶解氧(DO)、粪大肠菌群、栖息地评分、总磷(TP)、pH值和温度对敏感属损失与电导率之间关系的影响最小且可控。NH-N被确定为影响大型无脊椎动物电导率基准推导的一个混杂因素。通过从数据集中去除NH-N > 2.0 mg/L的站点,高NH-N的潜在混杂影响被最小化。我们的研究对美国环境保护局先前开发的权重方法进行了调整,以利用现场数据建立流域尺度应用的因果关系,并可能为污染修复和自然资源管理提供有用信息。