Kyu Hmwe H, Mumford John Everett, Stanaway Jeffrey D, Barber Ryan M, Hancock Jamie R, Vos Theo, Murray Christopher J L, Naghavi Mohsen
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave. Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA.
BMC Public Health. 2017 Feb 8;17(1):179. doi: 10.1186/s12889-017-4111-4.
Although preventable, tetanus still claims tens of thousands of deaths each year. The patterns and distribution of mortality from tetanus have not been well characterized. We identified the global, regional, and national levels and trends of mortality from neonatal and non-neonatal tetanus based on the results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015.
Data from vital registration, verbal autopsy studies and mortality surveillance data covering 12,534 site-years from 1980 to 2014 were used. Mortality from tetanus was estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble modeling strategy.
There were 56,743 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 48,199 to 80,042) deaths due to tetanus in 2015; 19,937 (UI: 17,021 to 23,467) deaths occurred in neonates; and 36,806 (UI: 29,452 to 61,481) deaths occurred in older children and adults. Of the 19,937 neonatal tetanus deaths, 45% of deaths occurred in South Asia, and 44% in Sub-Saharan Africa. Of the 36,806 deaths after the neonatal period, 47% of deaths occurred in South Asia, 36% in sub-Saharan Africa, and 12% in Southeast Asia. Between 1990 and 2015, the global mortality rate due to neonatal tetanus dropped by 90% and that due to non-neonatal tetanus dropped by 81%. However, tetanus mortality rates were still high in a number of countries in 2015. The highest rates of neonatal tetanus mortality (more than 1,000 deaths per 100,000 population) were observed in Somalia, South Sudan, Afghanistan, and Kenya. The highest rates of mortality from tetanus after the neonatal period (more than 5 deaths per 100,000 population) were observed in Somalia, South Sudan, and Kenya.
Though there have been tremendous strides globally in reducing the burden of tetanus, tens of thousands of unnecessary deaths from tetanus could be prevented each year by an already available inexpensive and effective vaccine. Availability of more high quality data could help narrow the uncertainty of tetanus mortality estimates.
尽管破伤风是可预防的,但每年仍导致数万人死亡。破伤风的死亡模式和分布情况尚未得到充分描述。我们根据《2015年全球疾病负担研究》的结果,确定了全球、区域和国家层面新生儿破伤风和非新生儿破伤风的死亡率及趋势。
使用了涵盖1980年至2014年12534个地点年的生命登记数据、口头尸检研究数据和死亡率监测数据。采用死因综合建模策略估算破伤风死亡率。
2015年有56743例(95%不确定区间(UI):48199至80042)破伤风死亡病例;19937例(UI:17021至23467)死亡发生在新生儿中;36806例(UI:29452至61481)死亡发生在大龄儿童和成人中。在19937例新生儿破伤风死亡病例中,45%的死亡发生在南亚,44%发生在撒哈拉以南非洲。在新生儿期后的36806例死亡病例中,47%的死亡发生在南亚,36%发生在撒哈拉以南非洲,12%发生在东南亚。1990年至2015年期间,全球新生儿破伤风死亡率下降了90%,非新生儿破伤风死亡率下降了81%。然而,2015年许多国家的破伤风死亡率仍然很高。新生儿破伤风死亡率最高(每10万人口超过1000例死亡)的国家有索马里、南苏丹、阿富汗和肯尼亚。新生儿期后破伤风死亡率最高(每10万人口超过5例死亡)的国家有索马里、南苏丹和肯尼亚。
尽管全球在减轻破伤风负担方面取得了巨大进展,但每年通过现有的廉价且有效的疫苗仍可预防数万千不必要的破伤风死亡病例。获取更多高质量数据有助于缩小破伤风死亡率估计的不确定性。