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老年综合征与医院结局的关联

The Association of Geriatric Syndromes with Hospital Outcomes.

作者信息

Romero-Ortuno Roman, Forsyth Duncan R, Wilson Kathryn Jane, Cameron Ewen, Wallis Stephen, Biram Richard, Keevil Victoria

机构信息

Department of Medicine for the Elderly, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, United Kingdom.

Clinical Gerontology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.

出版信息

J Hosp Med. 2017 Feb;12(2):83-89. doi: 10.12788/jhm.2685.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Frailty, history of dementia (HoD), and acute confusional states (ACS) are common in older patients admitted to hospital.

OBJECTIVE

To study the association of frailty (≥6 points in the Clinical Frailty Scale [CFS]), HoD, and ACS with hospital outcomes, controlling for age, gender, acute illness severity (measured by a Modified Early Warning Score in the emergency department), comorbidity (Charlson Comorbidity Index), and discharging specialty (general medicine, geriatric medicine, surgery).

DESIGN

Retrospective observational study.

SETTING

Large university hospital in England.

PATIENTS

We analyzed 8202 first nonelective inpatient episodes of people aged 75 years and older between October 2014 and October 2015.

MEASUREMENTS

The outcomes studied were prolonged length of stay (LOS ≥10 days), inpatient mortality, delayed discharge, institutionalization, and 30-day readmission. Statistical analyses were based on multivariate regression models.

RESULTS

Independently of controlling variables, prolonged LOS was predicted by CFS ≥6: odds ratio (OR) =1.55; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.36-1.77; P ⟨ 0.001; HoD: OR = 2.16; 95% CI, 1.79-2.61; P ⟨ 0.001; and ACS: OR = 3.31; 95% CI, 2.64-4.15; P ⟨ 0.001. Inpatient mortality was predicted by CFS ≥6: OR = 2.29; 95% CI, 1.79-2.94; P ⟨ 0.001. Delayed discharge was predicted by CFS ≥6: OR = 1.46; 95% CI, 1.27-1.67; P ⟨ 0.001; HoD: OR = 2.17; 95% CI, 1.80-2.62; P ⟨ 0.001; and ACS: OR = 2.29; 95% CI: 1.83-2.85; P ⟨ 0.001. Institutionalization was predicted by CFS ≥6: OR = 2.56; 95% CI, 2.09-3.14; P ⟨ 0.001; HoD: OR = 2.51; 95% CI, 2.00-3.14; P ⟨ 0.001; and ACS: OR 1.93; 95% CI, 1.46-2.56; P ⟨ 0.001. Readmission was predicted by ACS: OR = 1.36; 95% CI, 1.09-1.71; P = 0.006.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine screening for frailty, HoD, and ACS in hospitals may aid the development of acute care pathways for older adults. Journal of Hospital Medicine 2017;12:83-89.

摘要

背景

衰弱、痴呆病史(HoD)和急性意识模糊状态(ACS)在老年住院患者中很常见。

目的

研究衰弱(临床衰弱量表[CFS]评分≥6分)、HoD和ACS与住院结局之间的关联,并对年龄、性别、急性疾病严重程度(通过急诊科改良早期预警评分衡量)、合并症(Charlson合并症指数)和出院科室(普通内科、老年医学、外科)进行控制。

设计

回顾性观察研究。

地点

英国一家大型大学医院。

患者

我们分析了2014年10月至2015年10月期间8202例75岁及以上患者的首次非选择性住院病例。

测量指标

研究的结局包括住院时间延长(住院时间≥10天)、住院死亡率、延迟出院、机构化和30天再入院。统计分析基于多变量回归模型。

结果

不考虑控制变量,CFS≥6可预测住院时间延长:比值比(OR)=1.55;95%置信区间[CI],1.36 - 1.77;P<0.001;HoD:OR = 2.16;95%CI,1.79 - 2.61;P<0.001;ACS:OR = 3.31;95%CI,2.64 - 4.15;P<0.001。CFS≥6可预测住院死亡率:OR = 2.29;95%CI,1.79 - 2.94;P<0.001。CFS≥6可预测延迟出院:OR = 1.46;95%CI,1.27 - 1.67;P<0.001;HoD:OR = 2.17;95%CI,1.80 - 2.62;P<0.001;ACS:OR = 2.29;95%CI:1.83 - 2.85;P<0.001。CFS≥6可预测机构化:OR = 2.56;95%CI,2.09 - 3.14;P<0.001;HoD:OR = 2.51;95%CI,2.00 - 3.14;P<0.001;ACS:OR 1.93;95%CI,1.46 - 2.56;P<0.001。ACS可预测再入院:OR = 1.36;95%CI,1.09 - 1.71;P = 0.006。

结论

医院对衰弱、HoD和ACS进行常规筛查可能有助于制定针对老年人的急性护理路径。《医院医学杂志》2017年;12:83 - 89。

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