School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, The King's Buildings, Alexander Crum Brown Road, Edinburgh EH9 3FF, UK.
Sci Rep. 2017 Feb 10;7:41902. doi: 10.1038/srep41902.
Protected areas (PAs) aim to protect multiple ecosystem services. However, not all are well protected. For the first time, using published carbon and forest loss maps, we estimate carbon emissions in large forest PAs in tropical countries (N = 2018). We found 36 ± 16 Pg C stored in PA trees, representing 14.5% of all tropical forest biomass carbon. However the PAs lost forest at a mean rate of 0.18% yr from 2000-2012. Lower protection status areas experienced higher forest losses (e.g. 0.39% yr in IUCN cat III), yet even highest status areas lost 0.13% yr (IUCN Cat I). Emissions were not evenly distributed: 80% of emissions derived from 8.3% of PAs (112 ± 49.5 Tg CO yr; n = 171). Unsurprisingly the largest emissions derived from PAs that started with the greatest total forest area; accounting for starting forest area and relating that to carbon lost using a linear model (r = 0.41), we found 1.1% outlying PAs (residuals >2σ; N = 23), representing 1.3% of the total PA forest area, yet causing 27.3% of all PA emissions. These results suggest PAs have been a successful means of protecting biomass carbon, yet a subset causing a disproportionately high share of emissions should be an urgent priority for management interventions.
保护区旨在保护多种生态系统服务。然而,并非所有保护区都得到了很好的保护。我们首次利用已发表的碳和森林损失地图,估算了热带国家大型森林保护区的碳排放量(N=2018)。我们发现,保护区内树木储存的碳量为 36±16PgC,占热带森林生物量碳的 14.5%。然而,自 2000 年至 2012 年,这些保护区的森林以平均 0.18%的速度流失。保护程度较低的地区森林损失较大(例如 IUCN 第三类保护区的森林损失率为 0.39%),即使是保护程度最高的地区也损失了 0.13%(IUCN 第一类保护区)。排放并非均匀分布:80%的排放来自 8.3%的保护区(80±49.5TgCOyr;n=171)。毫不奇怪,最大的排放来自于起始森林面积最大的保护区;考虑到起始森林面积,并使用线性模型将其与碳损失相关联(r=0.41),我们发现 1.1%的保护区(残差>2σ;n=23)是异常值,占保护区总森林面积的 1.3%,但却导致了所有保护区排放的 27.3%。这些结果表明,保护区在保护生物量碳方面取得了成功,但一小部分保护区的排放量却不成比例地高,这应该成为管理干预的紧急优先事项。