Andrew Emily, Nehme Ziad, Wolfe Rory, Bernard Stephen, Smith Karen
Department of Research and Evaluation, Ambulance Victoria, Melbourne, Australia.
Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Heart. 2017 Jul;103(14):1104-1110. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2016-310485. Epub 2017 Mar 3.
Although the factors associated with short-term survival from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) are well established, relatively little is known about the factors that influence long-term survival. In this study, we describe the 15-year survival outcomes of OHCA survivors and examine the influence of peri-arrest factors and 12-month outcomes on long-term survival.
Survivors of OHCA between 2000 and 2014 identified from the Victorian Ambulance Cardiac Arrest Registry were linked with state-wide death records. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression models were used to estimate long-term survival outcomes.
A total of 3449 patients were included with a mean survival duration of 11.9 (95% CI 11.7 to 12.1) years. The 1-year survival rate was 92.2% (95% CI 91.3% to 93.1%), while the 5, 10 and 15-year survival rates were 81.4% (95% CI 79.9% to 82.8%), 70.1% (95% CI 67.9% to 72.1%) and 62.3% (95% CI 58.9% to 65.5%), respectively. The standardised mortality rate of OHCA survivors was 5.6 times that of the standard Australian population in the first-year postarrest, but approached that of the standard population 5 years postarrest. Few peri-arrest factors were independently associated with long-term survival after discharge. Rather, transport to a percutaneous coronary intervention-capable hospital and discharge home from hospital were associated with longevity. Returning to work and favourable physical/functional recovery were associated with improved survival after 12 months.
OHCA survivors experience relatively favourable long-term survival after discharge from hospital. While peri-arrest factors had little influence on long-term survival after hospital discharge, favourable recovery postdischarge was associated with improved long-term outcomes.
虽然与院外心脏骤停(OHCA)短期生存相关的因素已明确,但对于影响长期生存的因素知之甚少。在本研究中,我们描述了OHCA幸存者的15年生存结局,并探讨心脏骤停期间因素和12个月结局对长期生存的影响。
从维多利亚州救护车心脏骤停登记处识别出的2000年至2014年OHCA幸存者与全州死亡记录相链接。采用Kaplan-Meier生存曲线和Cox回归模型来估计长期生存结局。
共纳入3449例患者,平均生存时长为11.9(95%CI 11.7至12.1)年。1年生存率为92.2%(95%CI 91.3%至93.1%),而5年、10年和15年生存率分别为81.4%(95%CI 79.9%至82.8%)、70.1%(95%CI 67.9%至72.1%)和62.3%(95%CI 58.9%至65.5%)。OHCA幸存者的标准化死亡率在心脏骤停后第一年是澳大利亚标准人群的5.6倍,但在心脏骤停后5年接近标准人群。很少有心脏骤停期间因素与出院后的长期生存独立相关。相反,转运至有经皮冠状动脉介入治疗能力的医院以及从医院出院回家与长寿相关。12个月后重返工作岗位以及良好的身体/功能恢复与生存率提高相关。
OHCA幸存者出院后有相对良好的长期生存。虽然心脏骤停期间因素对出院后的长期生存影响不大,但出院后良好的恢复与改善的长期结局相关。