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霍纳纳风险评分对肝细胞癌患者静脉血栓栓塞的预测效能

Performance of Khorana Risk Score for Prediction of Venous Thromboembolism in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

作者信息

Wang Y, Attar B M, Fuentes H E, Yu J, Zhang Huiyuan, Tafur A J

机构信息

1 Department of Internal Medicine, John Stroger Jr. Hospital, Chicago, IL, USA.

2 Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, John Stroger Jr. Hospital, Chicago, IL, USA.

出版信息

Clin Appl Thromb Hemost. 2018 Apr;24(3):471-476. doi: 10.1177/1076029617699088. Epub 2017 Mar 14.

Abstract

Cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is one of the leading causes of mortality and morbidity among patients with malignancy. The Khorana risk score (KRS) is currently the best validated risk assessment model to stratify risks of VTE development in ambulatory patients with cancer. In the current study, we assessed the performance of KRS in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We retrospectively analyzed patients with diagnosis of HCC (screened by International Classification of Diseases [ ICD-9] and ICD-10 code, confirmed with radiographic examination and/or histopathology) at a large public hospital over 15 years (January 2000 through July 2015). Cases with VTE were identified through radiographic examination and blindly adjudicated. Khorana risk score was calculated for each patient, and its association with VTE development and mortality was assessed. Among 270 patients with HCC, 16 (5.9%) cases of VTE were identified, including 7 (43.8%) pulmonary embolism, 4 (25%) peripheral deep vein thrombosis, and 6 (37.5%) intra-abdominal thrombosis. One hundred eighty-four (68.1%) patients had a KRS of 0 and 86 (31.9%) patients had a KRS >0. Most of the thrombotic (n = 9, 56%) events occurred in the low-risk group. In univariate analysis, only prechemotherapy leukocyte count equal to or greater than 11 000/μL was statistically significant in the prediction of VTE incidence. After adjusting for confounding factors in multivariate analysis, KRS >0 was not predictive of VTE (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.81-4.15, P = .15) or mortality (HR = 1.61, 95% CI = 0.92-2.81, P = .09). Khorana risk score did not predict VTE development or mortality in patients with HCC. Design of HCC-specific risk assessment model for VTE development is necessary.

摘要

癌症相关静脉血栓栓塞(VTE)是恶性肿瘤患者死亡和发病的主要原因之一。Khorana风险评分(KRS)是目前用于对非卧床癌症患者VTE发生风险进行分层的最佳验证风险评估模型。在本研究中,我们评估了KRS在肝细胞癌(HCC)患者中的表现。我们回顾性分析了15年间(2000年1月至2015年7月)在一家大型公立医院诊断为HCC的患者(通过国际疾病分类[ICD-9]和ICD-10编码筛查,并经影像学检查和/或组织病理学确诊)。通过影像学检查确定VTE病例并进行盲法判定。计算每位患者的Khorana风险评分,并评估其与VTE发生和死亡率的关联。在270例HCC患者中,确诊16例(5.9%)VTE病例,包括7例(43.8%)肺栓塞、4例(25%)外周深静脉血栓形成和6例(37.5%)腹腔内血栓形成。184例(68.1%)患者的KRS为0,86例(31.9%)患者的KRS>0。大多数血栓形成事件(n = 9,56%)发生在低风险组。在单因素分析中,仅化疗前白细胞计数等于或大于11 000/μL在VTE发生率预测中具有统计学意义。在多因素分析中校正混杂因素后,KRS>0不能预测VTE(风险比[HR]=1.83,95%置信区间[CI]=0.81 - 4.15,P = 0.15)或死亡率(HR = 1.61,95%CI = 0.92 - 2.81,P = 0.09)。Khorana风险评分不能预测HCC患者的VTE发生或死亡率。有必要设计针对HCC患者VTE发生的特异性风险评估模型。

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