Itô Yosiaki
Division of Entomology, National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, 114, Tokyo, Japan.
Oecologia. 1972 Dec;10(4):347-372. doi: 10.1007/BF00345737.
The determination of density-dependence of a mortality process is attempted by taking the linear regression of the logarithm of population density (or k defined by Varley and Gradwell, 1960) against the logarithm of previous density, based on the assumption that the slope, b, of the line is smaller than unity for log density-log density relationship or larger than zero for k-log density relationship. It was concluded, however, that the following three factors violate the basic assumption, providing no density-dependence. 1. In a Morris plot based on serial data, the value of b tends to be near the value of r. Thus, when the relationship is strongly affected by chance factors, giving remarkably scattered points on graph, the value of b tends to be always lower than unity. 2. When the independent variables (log previous density) are subject to sampling error, the value of b tends to be smaller than unity for density-density relations or larger than zero for k-density relations. 3. In Morris plot, where log densities are used twice as an independent and a dependent variables excepting the first and the last generation, the effect of timelag strongly reduces the value of b when the number of generations is not large.
通过对种群密度的对数(或如Varley和Gradwell在1960年所定义的k)与先前密度的对数进行线性回归,来尝试确定死亡率过程的密度依赖性。这一做法基于以下假设:对于对数密度-对数密度关系,直线的斜率b小于1;对于k-对数密度关系,直线的斜率b大于0。然而,得出的结论是,以下三个因素违背了基本假设,不存在密度依赖性。1. 在基于连续数据的Morris图中,b值往往接近r值。因此,当这种关系受到偶然因素的强烈影响,导致图上的点非常分散时,b值往往总是低于1。2. 当自变量(对数先前密度)存在抽样误差时,对于密度-密度关系,b值往往小于1;对于k-密度关系,b值往往大于0。3. 在Morris图中,除了第一代和最后一代外,对数密度被用作自变量和因变量两次,当世代数不多时,时间滞后的影响会大大降低b值。