Gates D J, Westcott M, Burdon J J, Alexander H M
Division of Mathematics and Statistics, CSIRO, G.P.O. Box 1965, 2601, Canberra, A.C.T., Australia.
Division of Plant Industry, CSIRO, G.P.O. Box 1600, 2601, Canberra, A.C.T., Australia.
Oecologia. 1986 Mar;68(4):559-566. doi: 10.1007/BF00378772.
A deterministic mathematical model is developed for competition between two plant species (or genotypes) in the presence of a host-specific pathogen capable of attacking one of the species only. The complexity of the plant-plant-pathogen interaction precluded precise mathematical description of all possible long-term outcomes. However, extensive computer simulation shows that stability is not an inevitable consequence of the differential interaction, rather, the outcome depends greatly upon the growth rates and relative competitive abilities of the plant species and on the transmission efficiency of the pathogen and its effect on individual host plants. The model confirmed the general validity of previous intuitive arguments but clearly indicated that the occurrence of inflected yield curves is not a sufficient indication in itself of long-term stability.
针对仅能攻击其中一个物种的宿主特异性病原体存在情况下的两种植物物种(或基因型)之间的竞争,建立了一个确定性数学模型。植物 - 植物 - 病原体相互作用的复杂性使得对所有可能的长期结果进行精确数学描述变得不可能。然而,广泛的计算机模拟表明,稳定性并非差异相互作用的必然结果,相反,结果在很大程度上取决于植物物种的生长速率和相对竞争能力,以及病原体的传播效率及其对单个宿主植物的影响。该模型证实了先前直观论点的普遍有效性,但清楚地表明,产量曲线出现拐点本身并不足以表明长期稳定性。